Tuesday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [9/15/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 9/13/26**


Milwaukee (Misiorowski) at Pittsburgh (Bachar) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games.
Hot: Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Hot: Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Brewers are 55-20 in their last 75 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games following a loss.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 road games.
Under is 15-5-3 in Pirates last 23 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Pick: Pirates +1.5 +115


LA Dodgers (Yamamoto) at Cincinnati (Lowder) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in Lowder’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Reds are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Lowder’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Lowder’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Lowder’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 Tuesday games.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 8-2-1 in Dodgers last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Reds +1.5 +115


Philadelphia (Sanchez) at Washington (Kent) – 6:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
Cold: Nationals are 2-9 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Nationals are 8-25 in their last 33 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 games following an off day.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 8-2-2 in Nationals last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Phillies are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Phillies are 56-21 in the last 77 meetings.

Pick: Nationals +1.5 +100

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Atlanta (Perez) at Chicago Cubs (Gausman) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. National League East.
Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 Tuesday games.
Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 Tuesday games.
Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 Tuesday games.
Hot: Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Braves +126


San Francisco (Tidwell) at St Louis (Pallante) – 7:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Giants are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Giants are 7-24 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 6-18 in their last 24 during game 2 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Giants are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in St. Louis.
Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.
Cold: Giants are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in St. Louis.

Pick: Giants +147


San Diego (Buehler) at Colorado (Freeland) – 8:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 Tuesday games.
Cold: Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Rockies are 3-12 in their last 15 home games.
Rockies are 44-130 in their last 174 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 road games.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Padres are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: Rockies +1.5 +110

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Miami (Junk) at Arizona (Soroka) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Marlins are 27-10 in their last 37 vs. National League West.
Cold: Marlins are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Marlins are 2-11 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Marlins are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games on grass.
Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 on grass.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 on grass.
Under is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Marlins are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Diamondbacks -1.5 +140


Chicago White Sox (Martin) at Cleveland (Griffin) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games.
Hot: White Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League Central.
Guardians are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 Tuesday games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 24-9 in White Sox last 33 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 20-8-1 in White Sox last 29 Tuesday games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: White Sox are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Cleveland.
Cold: White Sox are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland.

Pick: Guardians -121


Athletics (Perkins) at Tampa Bay (Jax) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Hot: A’s are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Cold: A’s are 1-6 in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Cold: A’s are 2-10 in their last 12 Tuesday games.
A’s are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. American League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in A’s last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in A’s last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in A’s last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in A’s last 8 road games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Cold: A’s are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Pick: Rays -1.5 -105

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Detroit (Anderson) at Toronto (Fisher) – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Hot: Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games on astroturf.
Cold: Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cold: Tigers are 2-10 in their last 12 road games.
Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Over is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 Tuesday games.
Over is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 on astroturf.
Over is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games.

Head-to-Head
Under is 23-7-1 in the last 31 meetings in Toronto.
Tigers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
Tigers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Tigers +122


NY Yankees (Fried) at Minnesota (Ober) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 Tuesday games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 13-4-1 in Twins last 18 during game 2 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Yankees are 88-32 in the last 120 meetings.
Yankees are 40-16 in the last 56 meetings in Minnesota.

Pick: Twins +1.5 -115


Boston (Sandoval) at Texas (ACTION) – 8:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Hot: Rangers are 8-2 in their last 10 Tuesday games.
Hot: Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Rangers last 9 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Texas.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Rangers +105

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Kansas City (Wacha) at Houston (Brown) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Hot: Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day.
Hot: Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Astros are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 on grass.
Hot: Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 overall.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games following a loss.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 Tuesday games.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 games following an off day.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Royals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
Cold: Royals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Astros -1.5 +135


Seattle (Gilbert) at LA Angels (Johnson) – 9:38 ET

Win/Loss
Mariners are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Angels are 1-9 in their last 10 home games.
Cold: Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cold: Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Angels are 3-11 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Angels are 8-26 in their last 34 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 8-1-1 in Angels last 10 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-3 in Angels last 14 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 16-5 in Angels last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Mariners are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Mariners -1.5 +100


Baltimore (Baz) at NY Mets (Manaea) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in Manaea’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Mets are 7-1 in Manaea’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games.
Cold: Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0-1 in Manaea’s last 8 Tuesday starts.
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 3-0-2 in Mets last 5 interleague home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Manaea’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Manaea’s last 4 interleague starts.

Head-to-Head
Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in New York.
Over is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings.
Cold: Orioles are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Pick: Orioles +113