The 8-6, 5-2 on the road, San Francisco 49ers have rolled into town for what’s sure to be a Tennessee Christmas special. The Titans are 9-5 and 54-2 at home, but still, without one of the best running backs in the NFL. We would have said “the best” running back in the NFL if it were not for Jonathan Taylor of the Colts! That guy is making a case for himself and he gets better every week, but back to the story at hand – the 49ers @ the Titans. Who comes in as focused, and who comes in with Christmas vacation on the brain?
49ers @ Titans
49ers 8-6, 7-7-0 ATS 5-2 Road
Titans 9-5, 8-6-0 ATS 5-2 Home
8:20 PM ET NFL.NET
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Line: 49ers -3, ML -170/+145. O/U 44
The 49ers come into tonight’s game with a bucket full of confidence. They have won four of their last five and two of those wins have been on the road. Let’s go back five weeks to Jacksonville where they won on the 21st on November, 30-10, then back home on the 28th against the Vikings with a win, 34-26, then on December 5th, with a road loss to the Seahawks. Then it was back on the road, all the way to Cincinnati, where they picked up the win in OT, 26-23, then back home last week with a big win over the Falcons. 31-13.
OK, so, we see it coming and we know what you are going to say, and this is exactly why we lay down the last five games. How are they playing over five? That’s the question that we always ask. What you are going to mention is strength of schedule… We get it and it’s a valid point. Look at who the 49ers have played this season, and especially over the last five games. Here is the ting… This year, more than ever before, the NFL is filled to the brim with parity. Anybody can beat anybody, on any given day. Don’t believe me; ask Tom Brady – he was just beaten by the Saints, 9-0! Going on the road to Jacksonville, 3,000 miles, and picking up the win was a big deal, the same goes for the Bengals. Road wins are huge. How does this translate today, in Nashville?
The Titans have lost three of the last five and we see this… Hanging on, making adjustments, and staying relevant when their best players are out of the picture. When Henry went down, everything changed for the Titans. To be 9-5 right now is a big deal. The Titans must be given credit.
For us, this one comes down to tackling, defense, getting after the quarterback, and defensive line play. Who is better? The Titans are holding teams to 86.9 yards per game, on the ground, while rushing for 142.3 yards per game. The 49ers are holding their opponents to 108.6 yards per game on the ground and rushing for 126.6 yards per game.
This will be a close, close affair. At the end of the day, we like the Titans to unwrap Christmas early! Merry Christmas all, and good luck tonight.
AmericasBookie’s opinion on how to bet: Titans to score first, Titans to win the first quarter, Titans to win the 1st half, 49ers to win the 2nd half, Titans +3, Over 44.