Thursday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [8/27/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 8/25/26**


Colorado (Hughes) at Washington (Irvin) – 1:05 ET

Win/Loss
Cold: Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Nationals are 7-19 in their last 26 games on grass.
Nationals are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.
Rockies are 68-184 in their last 252 road games.
Nationals are 27-73 in their last 100 Thursday games.
Rockies are 15-37 in their last 52 during game 4 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 on grass.
Hot: Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 4 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Nationals -110


Milwaukee (Misiorowski) at NY Mets (Manaea) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Cold: Mets are 1-5 in Manaea’s last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Cold: Mets are 3-12 in Manaea’s last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mets are 3-9 in Manaea’s last 12 starts with 5 days of rest.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Manaea’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Brewers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in New York.

Pick: Mets +1.5 +105


LA Dodgers (Yamamoto) at Atlanta (Sale) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Hot: Braves are 12-1 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Cold: Dodgers are 2-12 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Braves -105

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Arizona (Undecided) at San Francisco (Roupp) – 9:45 ET

Win/Loss
Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cold: Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. National League West.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
Under is 9-3 in Giants last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Giants last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.
Over is 18-6-4 in the last 28 meetings.

Pick: Check back later…


Houston (Wesneski) at NY Yankees (Cole) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 road games.
Cold: Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 9-2-1 in Astros last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-4 in Yankees last 19 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 7-2-2 in Astros last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 10-4 in Yankees last 14 Thursday games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Hot: Astros are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
Astros are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings.

Pick: Astros +131


Kansas City (Cameron) at Toronto (Arrighetti) – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.
Royals are 7-2 in their last 9 games on astroturf.
Cold: Royals are 3-13 in their last 16 Thursday games.
Royals are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Royals are 5-13 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 vs. American League East.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Royals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Blue Jays -102

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Baltimore (Rogers) at St Louis (ACTION) – 2:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cardinals are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games.
Hot: Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last 7 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 road games.
Hot: Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 interleague games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Orioles are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

Pick: Cardinals -101

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.