Detroit (7-3) at Cleveland (4-6)
When: Saturday, April 15th 2017
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: FOX Sports 1
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The Detroit Tigers are looking for their third straight series win when they visit the Cleveland Indians in the second game of their weekend set on Saturday afternoon. Miguel Cabrera homered for the second straight game Friday as the Tigers built a big lead before holding off a furious rally for a 7-6 victory – their seventh in the first 10 games of the season. Cabrera went 2-for-3 with three RBIs to lift his season average to .182 and catcher Alex Avila continued his hot hitting with a homer, improving to 5-for-8 on the season. The Indians rallied late with a Lonnie Chisenhall grand slam in the ninth, but they lost for the sixth time in seven games after sweeping three from Texas to open the 2017 season. Cleveland’s newest acquisition Edwin Encarnacion recorded a pair of hits after managing just three in the previous eight games as the Indians scored more than four runs for the first time in seven tries. Cleveland SS Francisco Lindor has been the team’s best hitter with four homers, eight RBIs and a .316 batting average in 2017. Detroit 3B Nick Castellanos is only batting .220, but leads the team in hits (nine) and total bases (20).
Pitchers: Tigers – Justin Verlander (1-0, 1.35 ERA) | Indians – Corey Kluber (0-1, 5.25)
Ace Justin Verlander will make his third start of the season and is already showing Cy Young-type form. Verlander limited his first two opponents (Boston and the Chicago White Sox) to three runs (two earned) on nine hits across 13.1 innings. The former MVP, who went 16-9 in 2016 with a 3.04 ERA, has 14 strikeouts and two walks after two starts. Carlos Santana is just 13-for-66 overall but has seven homers against Verlander, who is 19-21 with a 4.48 ERA in 48 starts versus Cleveland.
The Indians will trot out their ace, Corey Kluber, who allowed three runs (two earned) on six hits in six innings to take the loss last Sunday at Arizona. Kluber, who was 18-9 with a 3.14 ERA in 2016, is two outs from reaching 900 innings in his career and has 946 strikeouts. Cabrera is 20-for-47 with five homers and Victor Martinez 12-for-36 with two blasts versus Kluber, who went 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four starts against Detroit in 2016.
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Verlander looks like he’s already in midseason form, while Kluber is struggling to get going. Detroit is on a roll right now and I wouldn’t take much from Cleveland’s six runs last night since most of that was in one inning. I like Verlander to keep the Indians bats at bay and pick up the win for Detroit.
Pick: Tigers +131
W/L TRENDS
| Detroit |
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Tigers are 7-3 in their last 10 road games.
- Tigers are 41-18 in their last 59 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 15-7 in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 1-7 in their last 8 Saturday games.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Verlander’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 6-1 in Verlander’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Tigers are 5-1 in Verlander’s last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 13-3 in Verlander’s last 16 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 8-2 in Verlander’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Tigers are 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 starts.
- Tigers are 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Tigers are 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 Saturday starts.
- Tigers are 5-2 in Verlander’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
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| Cleveland |
- Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Indians are 54-24 in their last 78 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 47-22 in their last 69 home games.
- Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Indians are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
- Indians are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 6-0 in Kluber’s last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Indians are 12-2 in Kluber’s last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 6-1 in Kluber’s last 7 Saturday starts.
- Indians are 5-1 in Kluber’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 11-3 in Kluber’s last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Indians are 21-6 in Kluber’s last 27 starts on grass.
- Indians are 19-7 in Kluber’s last 26 starts.
- Indians are 8-3 in Kluber’s last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Indians are 23-9 in Kluber’s last 32 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Indians are 10-4 in Kluber’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 7-3 in Kluber’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 36-17 in Kluber’s last 53 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 42-20 in Kluber’s last 62 home starts.
- Indians are 5-11 in Kluber’s last 16 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| Detroit |
- Over is 10-2 in Tigers last 12 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 27-6-1 in Tigers last 34 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 Saturday games.
- Over is 9-3 in Tigers last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 27-10 in Tigers last 37 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Verlander’s last 7 Saturday starts.
- Under is 7-1-2 in Verlander’s last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 7-1-2 in Verlander’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 11-2 in Verlander’s last 13 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-2 in Verlander’s last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Verlander’s last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Verlander’s last 9 road starts.
- Under is 21-6-2 in Verlander’s last 29 starts overall.
- Under is 19-6-2 in Verlander’s last 27 starts on grass.
- Under is 9-3 in Verlander’s last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 12-4-1 in Verlander’s last 17 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Verlander’s last 26 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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| Cleveland |
- Under is 7-1-1 in Indians last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Indians last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Indians last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 Saturday games.
- Over is 15-6 in Indians last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-2 in Indians last 7 games following a loss.
- Over is 54-23-3 in Indians last 80 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Kluber’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Kluber’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Kluber’s last 5 home starts.
- Under is 19-7-1 in Kluber’s last 27 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-2 in Kluber’s last 7 Saturday starts.
- Under is 5-2 in Kluber’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Indians are 4-0 in Kluber’s last 4 starts vs. Tigers.
- Over is 6-1 in Kluber’s last 7 starts vs. Tigers.
- Over is 26-5 in the last 31 meetings in Cleveland.
- Over is 5-1 in Kluber’s last 6 home starts vs. Tigers.
- Over is 41-14 in the last 55 meetings.
- Over is 9-4 in Verlander’s last 13 starts vs. Indians.
- Tigers are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Cleveland.
- Tigers are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings.
- Tigers are 1-7 in Verlander’s last 8 starts vs. Indians.
- Tigers are 0-4 in Verlander’s last 4 road starts vs. Indians.
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