Detroit (0-0) at Houston (0-0)
When: Tuesday, October 1st 2024
Where: Minute Maid Park,
Houston, TX
Time: 2:32 ET | TV: ABC
Opening Odds: Houston -127/6.5
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Tigers vs Astros Recent Meetings
| Date | Home/Away | H Starter | A Starter | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/16/24 | HOU 4 - DET 1 | R. Blanco | K. Maeda | -164/7.5 | U |
| 6/15/24 | HOU 5 - DET 13 | S. Arrighetti | J. Flaherty | -117/7.5 | O |
| 6/14/24 | HOU 4 - DET 0 | H. Brown | T. Skubal | -118/7 | U |
| 5/12/24 | DET 3 - HOU 9 | J. Flaherty | J. Verlander | -109/7.5 | O |
| 5/11/24 | DET 8 - HOU 2 | T. Skubal | C. Javier | -152/7.5 | O |
| 5/10/24 | DET 2 - HOU 5 | C. Mize | F. Valdez | 130/8 | U |
| 2023 Season | |||||
| 8/27/23 | DET 4 - HOU 17 | A. Faedo | J. Verlander | 148/8.5 | O |
| 8/26/23 | DET 2 - HOU 9 | E. Rodriguez | H. Brown | 134/9 | O |
| 8/25/23 | DET 4 - HOU 1 | M. Manning | F. Valdez | 152/9 | U |
| 4/5/23 | HOU 8 - DET 2 | C. Javier | E. Rodriguez | -244/8 | O |
| 4/4/23 | HOU 3 - DET 6 | F. Valdez | M. Manning | -269/7.5 | O |
| 4/3/23 | HOU 6 - DET 7 x | H. Brown | M. Boyd | -231/8.5 | O |
| 2022 Season | |||||
| 9/14/22 | DET 1 - HOU 2 | J. Wentz | C. Javier | 189/8 | U |
| 9/13/22 | DET 3 - HOU 6 | D. Hutchison | H. Brown | 203/8 | O |
| 9/12/22 | DET 0 - HOU 7 | E. Rodriguez | F. Valdez | 209/7 | P |
| 5/8/22 | HOU 5 - DET 0 | J. Odorizzi | W. Peralta | -179/8.5 | U |
| 5/7/22 | HOU 3 - DET 2 | F. Valdez | E. Rodriguez | -192/8 | U |
| 5/6/22 | HOU 3 - DET 2 | L. Garcia | B. Brieske | -234/8.5 | U |
| 5/5/22 | HOU 3 - DET 2 | J. Urquidy | T. Skubal | -155/8 | U |
| 2021 Season | |||||
| 6/27/21 | DET 2 - HOU 1 x | T. Skubal | J. Odorizzi | 152/9 | U |
Tarik Skubal L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/24/24 | @ PHI | S | ND | 10-4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | inf | .00 |
| 9/24/24 | TB | S | W | 2-1 | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 103 | 14.7 | 2.67 |
| 9/18/24 | @ KC | S | W | 4-2 | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 19.0 | 5.00 |
| 9/12/24 | COL | S | ND | 2-4 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 14.0 | 1.25 |
| 9/6/24 | @ OAK | S | ND | 6-7 | 5.2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 16.9 | .40 |
| 8/31/24 | BOS | S | W | 2-1 | 8.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 98 | 12.2 | 2.67 |
| 8/24/24 | @ CHW | S | W | 13-4 | 5.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 17.6 | .67 |
| 8/18/24 | NYY | S | ND | 3-2 | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 100 | 16.7 | 8.00 |
| 8/13/24 | SEA | S | W | 15-1 | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 14.7 | 1.33 |
| 8/7/24 | @ SEA | S | W | 6-2 | 7.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 102 | 14.6 | .14 |
Framber Valdez L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/24/24 | SEA | S | W | 4-3 | 5.2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 90 | 15.9 | 9.00 |
| 9/18/24 | @ SD | S | L | 0-4 | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 94 | 13.4 | 3.67 |
| 9/12/24 | OAK | S | ND | 6-3 | 6.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 15.2 | 12.00 |
| 9/6/24 | AZ | S | W | 8-0 | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 96 | 13.7 | 11.00 |
| 8/30/24 | KC | S | ND | 3-2 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 98 | 14.0 | 9.00 |
| 8/24/24 | @ BAL | S | L | 2-3 | 5.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 18.4 | .00 |
| 8/18/24 | CHW | S | W | 2-0 | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 11.7 | 2.00 |
| 8/12/24 | @ TB | S | W | 6-1 | 5.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 101 | 17.8 | 1.67 |
| 8/6/24 | @ TEX | S | W | 4-2 | 8.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 12.3 | 2.40 |
| 7/31/24 | PIT | S | W | 5-4 | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 15.3 | 1.67 |
Prediction
While I believe the Royals are a live dog against the Orioles, I think talent and experience will win out in this series. Houston had a big second half and they’ve been here a time or two. The Tigers are a great story, but I don’t think they can compete with the Astros firepower. Skubal will win the Cy Young and will probably pitch well, but can the Tigers score enough? Valdez will get some Cy Young votes after his terrific second half in which he went 7-2 with a 1.96 ERA across a dozen starts. I’ll take Houston in a low scoring affair.
Pick: Astros -138
