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JAY’S NBA FREE PICKS
5-1 (83%) Run!
Trends are through 3/17/26 and courtesy of Don Best Sports.
Detroit at Washington – 7:10 ET
Against the Spread
Hot: Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Pistons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Cold: Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Cold: Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Pick: Wizards +15.5
Orlando at Charlotte – 7:10 ET
Against the Spread
Hot: Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Hot: Hornets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Hot: Hornets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Cold: Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Cold: Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games following a ATS win.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Magic last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Magic last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Magic last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 Thursday games.
Under is 9-3 in Hornets last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Pick: Hornets -5.5
Cleveland at Chicago – 8:10 ET
Against the Spread
Hot: Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cold: Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Cold: Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Cold: Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 9-2 in Bulls last 11 overall.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Cavaliers last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 Thursday games.
Pick: Cavaliers -13
Phoenix at San Antonio – 8:10 ET
Against the Spread
Hot: Spurs are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 Thursday games.
Hot: Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.
Cold: Spurs are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 games following a straight up win.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games following a ATS win.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Suns last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 overall.
Pick: Suns +9.5
LA Clippers at New Orleans – 8:10 ET
Against the Spread
Hot: Pelicans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Hot: Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Hot: Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Hot: Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Hot: Clippers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Under is 7-2 in Pelicans last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 11-4 in Clippers last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 20-8 in Clippers last 28 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 Thursday games.
Pick: Pelicans -1.5
LA Lakers at Miami – 8:10 ET
Against the Spread
Hot: Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Hot: Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Hot: Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Lakers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 9-3 in Heat last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 5-2 in Heat last 7 overall.
Under is 5-2 in Lakers last 7 road games.
Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 Thursday games.
Pick: Heat -3
Milwaukee at Utah – 9:10 ET
Against the Spread
Hot: Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hot: Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cold: Jazz are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
Cold: Jazz are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 18-5 in Jazz last 23 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 39-12 in Jazz last 51 home games.
Pick: Jazz +5
Philadelphia at Sacramento – 10:10 ET
Against the Spread
Hot: Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Hot: Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Kings are 4-21-2 ATS in their last 27 Thursday games.
Cold: Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Cold: Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Kings last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Kings last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Kings last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Pick: Kings +3.5
