Thursday’s NBA Basketball Free Predictions [3/12/26]

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JAY’S NBA FREE PICKS


Trends are through 3/10/26 and courtesy of Don Best Sports.

Phoenix at Indiana – 7:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Suns are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Suns are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
Cold: Pacers are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Cold: Pacers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Cold: Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Suns last 6 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 12-1 in Pacers last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 home games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Suns last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Suns last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hot: Over is 14-3 in Pacers last 17 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Pick: Suns -9


Washington at Orlando – 7:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hot: Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Cold: Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Cold: Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Cold: Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Magic last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Wizards last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Wizards last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 6-2 in Magic last 8 home games.

Pick: Magic -15


Philadelphia at Detroit – 7:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Cold: Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Pistons are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Pick: Pistons -14.5



Milwaukee at Miami – 7:40 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Hot: Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Cold: Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Cold: Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Cold: Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 10-1 in Bucks last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

Pick: Bucks +6.5


Brooklyn at Atlanta – 7:40 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Hot: Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Cold: Nets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.
Cold: Nets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Cold: Nets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Nets last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Pick: Nets +14.5


Dallas at Memphis – 8:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Mavericks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cold: Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Mavericks last 7 overall.
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Mavericks last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 road games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Pick: Grizzlies +5



Denver at San Antonio – 9:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Spurs are 23-4 ATS in their last 27 Thursday games.
Hot: Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Hot: Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 home games.
Over is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Pick: Spurs -6


Boston at Oklahoma City – 9:40 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Hot: Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Celtics are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cold: Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Cold: Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Pick: Thunder -7


Chicago at LA Lakers – 10:40 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hot: Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Hot: Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Bulls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Bulls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 games following a straight up win.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 games following a ATS win.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 games following a ATS win.

Pick: Bulls +11.5

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.