Thursday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [4/30/26]

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JAY COOPER’S FREE MLB PICKS
15-9 (+$1,106) Run

BOBBY BABOWSKI’S FREE MLB PICKS
23-14 (+$812) Run

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 4/28/26**


St Louis (Dobbins) at Pittsburgh (Skenes) – 12:35 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in Skenes’ last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
Cold: Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-2 in Skenes’ last 7 Thursday starts.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Skenes’ last 7 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Skenes’ last 7 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Skenes’ last 5 home starts.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Skenes’ last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games.

Pick: Pirates -1.5 -102


Colorado (Lorenzen) at Cincinnati (Abbott) – 12:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Hot: Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Reds are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
Cold: Reds are 0-6 in Abbott’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in Abbott’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Rockies are 11-56 in their last 67 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Abbott’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Abbott’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Abbott’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Pick: Rockies +150


San Francisco (Houser) at Philadelphia (Painter) – 12:35 ET (Game 1)

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Phillies last 6 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Pick: Check back later…

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Washington (Mikolas) at NY Mets (Peralta) – 1:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Cold: Mets are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Mets are 3-15 in their last 18 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
Hot: Over is 4-0-2 in Nationals last 6 vs. National League East.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Peralta’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Peralta’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.

Pick: Mets -1.5 -105


Arizona (Soroka) at Milwaukee (Woodruff) – 1:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Soroka’s last 5 starts.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Soroka’s last 5 starts on grass.
Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Brewers are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. National League West.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 10-2 in Diamondbacks last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. National League Central.
Over is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

Pick: Diamondbacks +109


Houston (Lambert) at Baltimore (Bassitt) – 12:35 ET (Game 1)

Win/Loss
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Astros are 4-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 Thursday starts.
Hot: Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 starts.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 starts on grass.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.

Pick: Check back later…

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Kansas City (Cameron) at Athletics (Springs) – 3:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: are 0-6 in Springs’ last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Royals are 1-8 in their last 9 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Springs’ last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in A’s last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 on grass.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 overall.
Hot: Over is 10-2 in A’s last 12 home games.
Hot: Under is 10-2 in Cameron’s last 12 starts with 5 days of rest.

Pick: A’s -122


Toronto (Gausman) at Minnesota (Ober) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Blue Jays are 20-8 in their last 28 Thursday games.
Cold: Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Cold: Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 home games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 during game 1 of a series.

Pick: Twins +118


Detroit (Valdez) at Atlanta (Elder) – 12:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 8-0 in Elder’s last 8 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Tigers are 2-10 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Tigers are 3-13 in their last 16 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Elder’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Elder’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Elder’s last 4 starts on grass.

Pick: Tigers +109

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Houston (McCullers) at Baltimore (Young) – 3:35 ET (Game 2)

Win/Loss
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Astros are 4-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 Thursday starts.
Hot: Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 starts.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 starts on grass.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.

Pick: Check back later…


San Francisco (Undecided) at Philadelphia (Undecided) – 5:35 ET (Game 2)

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Phillies last 6 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Pick: Check back later…