Tennessee (2-1, 0-0) at Florida (3-0, 1-0)
When: Saturday, September 26th, 2015
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Time: 3:30 ET
TV: CBS Radio: XM 84
The Florida Gators come into this year’s showdown with Tennessee as the 7th best rushing defense in the country. It will tested today against a good Tennessee rushing attack. Florida allows only 58 yards a game on the ground through three games. The Gators already have one SEC win under their belts by beating Kentucky last week 14-9. They also have wins over New Mexico State and East Carolina. On offense, the Gators need to get their rushing game going. They only averaged 3.2 yards a carry last week in Kentucky. Kelvin Taylor averaged 4.9 yards a carry last year, but only 3.8 so far this season. Florida uses a two quarterback system with Will Grier and Treon Harris, but Harris has been suspended for this game. Grier has completed 67.9% of his passes for 440 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. The Freshman has also rushed for 114 yards and two scores. Florida gets Ole Miss at home next week before going on the road for 3 straight SEC games. They really could use this win today because they could easily lose 2 of their next 4 after Tennessee.
Tennessee comes into this game with the 18th best rushing attack in the nation led by Jalen Hurd. He was rested most of the 2nd half last week, but gained 106 yards against Oklahoma and 123 versus Bowling Green. He’s run for 5 touchdowns and caught another. The Vols put up 59 and 55 points in their wins, but were beat in double-overtime by Oklahoma. The 138 points the Volunteers have scored this year are the most they have scored in the first 3 games of a season since producing 171 in 1914. Junior quarterback Joshua Dobbs is completing only 58.1% of his passes this season with 5 touchdowns and 1 interception. Tennessee believes they can compete this year in the SEC East. The schedule is favorable for that run. After Florida, they’ll probably be big underdogs in just two games. They get Georgia at home in a few weeks.
Tennessee’s offense will be slowed down today for sure, but I think they can break through. I think Grier will benefit from Harris not playing. I expect a back and forth game all the way to the end in what will be a typical Florida/Tennessee battle. I’ll take Florida at home.
Pick: Gators +1