Temple vs Wyoming Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – December 17th, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for this year’s New Mexico Bowl between the Temple Owls and Wyoming Cowboys opened up at -6 on December 5th in favor of the Owls BetOnline Sportsbook. As of Monday afternoon, the line has moved up to 6.5. The total opened up at 47 and has inched up to 47.5. Right now, the public is split right down the middle on the spread and 69% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Owls are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a ATS loss.
My Prediction: When I first looked at this line a few weeks ago I was thinking Wyoming was a good bet with the points based on the fact that they have covered 5 of their last 7 games overall and that the Cowboys have a more balanced offensive attack than Temple. After looking into the numbers, something really jumped out at me. The Owls have the 7th best rushing offense in the nation while Wyoming is 115th out of 120 in rushing defense. That’s not a good sign for Wyoming backers. Temple has the 3rd best defense overall in terms of point allowed (13.8). I think this will be a close game at halftime, then the Owls will wear down the Cowboys in the 2nd half a pull away.