Texas Christian (12-1, 0-1) at Baylor (10-3, 0-1)
When: Tuesday, January 2nd 2018
Where: Ferrell Center, Waco, TX
Time: 7:00 ET | TV: ESPN News
Opening Odds: Baylor -2.5/149
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The TCU Horned Frogs and Baylor Bears were a combined 22-2 heading into their respective Big 12 openers, but both came up short and will try and even their conference records on Tuesday night in Waco. The short-handed Bears were no threat without starting forward Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. in Friday’s league opener against Texas Tech, and could drop out of the coaches poll when the new one is released prior to game time. The Bears had one assist and were held to a season-low 53 points without Lual-Acuil, who will be a game-time decision after missing Friday’s contest with a non-contact foot injury. Baylor could really use Lual-Acuil’s rebounding on Tuesday, as TCU is ranked 14th nationally at +9.2 boards a game while averaging 87.6 points. The Horned Frogs’ perfect 12-0 record was snapped over the weekend after holding a 13-point lead with 10 minutes left against No. 12 Oklahoma. Baylor has won all 11 meetings with TCU by an average of 18.1 points since the Horned Frogs joined the Big 12.
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Senior Kenrich Williams leads five TCU starters in double figures with 15.1 points and a team-high 9.4 rebounds. Williams, who has scored in double figures in nine straight games, has six double-doubles on the season. Senior Vladimir Brodziansky is next at 13.4 points and shoots 64% while sophomore Desmond Bane, who averaged 7.1 points last year, chips in 12.8 points. Sophomore Jaylen Fisher averages 11.0 points and 5.7 assists for TCU, which ranks third nationally with 19.9 assists a game. TCU is looking for first win against a major conference opponent this season.
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Manu Lecomte leads all Baylor players with a 17.5 scoring average and is ranked second in the league with 3.6 made 3-pointers a contest. Lual-Acuil accounts for 15.1 points, 10.0 rebounds and 1.8 blocks while Nuni Omot adds 11.6 points. Senior forward Terry Maston (10.0 points, 7.0 rebounds off the bench) was scoreless in his return after missing six games with a broken hand. Freshman Mark Vital is averaging 11.3 points and 6.0 rebounds in his past three games, including 12 points in his first career start Friday.
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This Baylor team has athletes, but they don’t move the ball around enough and could really be in trouble if Lual-Acuil can’t go. TCU has played a weak schedule to date, but they’re the better team in this contest.
Pick: TCU +1.5
- Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Horned Frogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Horned Frogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.
- Horned Frogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. Big 12.
- Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
- Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.
- Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Big 12.
- Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
- Over is 4-0 in Horned Frogs last 4 vs. Big 12.
- Over is 6-1 in Horned Frogs last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Horned Frogs last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Horned Frogs last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 7-3 in Horned Frogs last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Bears last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Bears last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Bears last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 Tuesday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Bears last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
- Under is 10-4 in Bears last 14 vs. Big 12.
- Over is 13-6 in Bears last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
- Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Baylor.
- Horned Frogs are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
