San Antonio (2-1) at Houston (1-2)
When: Saturday, May 7th 2017
Where: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Time: 9:05 ET | TV: TNT
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The San Antonio Spurs have responded from a Game 1 beat-down and look to take a commanding 3-1 series lead when they visit the Houston Rockets for Game 4 of their Western Conference semifinal series. LaMarcus Aldridge finally broke lose for the Spurs, who are without point guard Tony Parker for the rest of the postseason, scoring 26 points on 12-of-20 shooting. Aldridge averaged just 9.5 points on 8-of-22 shooting over the first two games of the series. Kawhi Leonard matched Aldridge with 26 points and also grabbed 10 rebounds and dished out seven assists as the Spurs rebounded from a 27-point loss at home in Game 1 to win the next two by an average of 18 points. Leonard is averaging 29.8 points with four 30-point outings in the postseason. The Spurs were playing without Parker in the postseason for the first time since 2001, ending an NBA record of 221 straight playoff appearances for him. Key reserve Patty Mills remained in a backup role and scored 15 points in 30 minutes and rookie Dejounte Murray (two points in 15 minutes) made the start and will be in the opening lineup again on Sunday.
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The Rockets high-flying offense was shut down in the last two games by San Antonio’s defense. Houston averaged just 94 points in the consecutive losses and the quartet of starter Ryan Anderson (two points) and reserves Eric Gordon (nine points), Nene (one) and Lou Williams (zero) combined for 12 points on 3-of-23 shooting in Game 3. James Harden scored 43 points after scoring just 13 in Game 2, but had just five assists and spent the entire night complaining to the officials. Even with his big night, the Houston offense wasn’t clicking on all cylinders as only forward Trevor Ariza (17 points) and center Clint Capela (12 points, 16 rebounds) joined Harden in double figures. Capela is averaging 15.3 points (on 20-of-27 shooting) and 10.7 rebounds in the series. Shooting guard Eric Gordon led the bench with 9 points, but was just 3-of-10 shooting including 1-of-4 from 3-point range. “Offensively, we’ve just got to get guys involved,” Harden told reporters. “Guys just have to have confidence and knock down these shots and be aggressive.”
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I fully expect Houston to come out with more passion as their backs are against the wall at home. Harden will get more help from his supporting cast and the Rockets will start making shots. Look for this series to be even after Sunday.
Pick: Rockets -5.5
ATS TRENDS
| San Antonio |
- Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
- Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Spurs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Spurs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Spurs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Spurs are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win.
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| Houston |
- Rockets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
- Rockets are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.
- Rockets are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Rockets are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Rockets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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OU TRENDS
| San Antonio |
- Over is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 Sunday games.
- Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 10-4 in Spurs last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Under is 19-9-2 in Spurs last 30 games following a straight up win.
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| Houston |
- Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2 in Rockets last 10 Conference Semifinals games.
- Over is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Under is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 home games.
- Under is 9-3 in Rockets last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Under is 5-2 in Rockets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-2 in Rockets last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Rockets last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 13-6-1 in Rockets last 20 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Under is 13-6 in Rockets last 19 games following a ATS loss.
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