Senators vs Penguins Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [Game 7]

By
Jay Cooper
-

Ottawa (3-3) at Pittsburgh (3-3)
When: Thursday, May 25th 2017
Where: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: NBC

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History seems to be against both the Ottawa Senators and Pittsburgh Penguins when it comes to winner-take-all Game 7’s, but one team will walk away with the Eastern Conference trophy and battle the Nashville Predators on Monday in the Stanley Cup Finals. The Senators bounced back nicely from a 7-0 drubbing in Game 5 to post a hard-fought 2-1 victory behind goalie Craig Anderson. Mike Hoffman scored the tie-breaking goal early in the third period, while Anderson stopped 45 shots overall and 22 in the second to preserve the win after getting pulled in Game 5. Bobby Ryan scored a power-play goal which was Ottawa’s first in 30 chances covering the last 10 games. Ottawa is 0-5 all-time in Game 7, but Anderson is 3-1 with a 0.76 goals-against average in his last four starts when facing elimination. Ryan, taken No. 2 overall in the 2005 NHL draft behind Pittsburgh captain Sidney Crosby, scored 13 times in 62 regular-season games but has six goals in 18 postseason contests. Ottawa is looking for it’s first trip to the Stanley Cup Finals since 2007.

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The Penguins will be looking to make it back-to-back Finals appearances, and can be the first team to do so since themselves back in 2008-09. The Penguins have not been very good at home in Game 7’s, posting just a 3-7 record and have lost seven straight Game 7’s at home after losing Game 6. Crosby has two goals and two assists and Evgeni Malkin six assists in six Game 7’s for Pittsburgh. Crosby scored in three straight games prior to Tuesday’s loss and is tied for second in the postseason in scoring with 19 points. Malkin, who scored Pittsburgh’s lone goal in Game 6, has a playoff-leading 24 points. Goalie Matt Murray, who posted a relatively easy shutout in Game 5, stopped 28 shots on Tuesday and will most likely get the nod again over Marc-Andre Fleury. Coach Mike Sullivan said F Patric Hornqvist and D Justin Schultz could return for Game 7. Whichever teams wins this contest will host Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals on Monday night.

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Anderson was terrific on Tuesday, but I can’t see the puck staying out of the net if Pittsburgh continues to dominate puck possession. Ottawa is still struggling offensively and Murray will be up to the task. I’ll take the home team in this one.

Pick: Penguins -200

W/L TRENDS

Ottawa
  • Senators are 8-3 in their last 11 Thursday games.
  • Senators are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Senators are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Pittsburgh
  • Penguins are 5-1 in their last 6 Thursday games.
  • Penguins are 24-8 in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Penguins are 62-21 in their last 83 home games.
  • Penguins are 40-14 in their last 54 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 59-25 in their last 84 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Penguins are 48-23 in their last 71 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 71-34 in their last 105 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Penguins are 55-27 in their last 82 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Ottawa
  • Under is 18-6-2 in Senators last 26 Thursday games.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Senators last 9 Conference Finals games.
  • Over is 5-2-3 in Senators last 10 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 9-4-3 in Senators last 16 games following a win.
  • Under is 63-30-5 in Senators last 98 vs. Metropolitan.
  • Under is 37-18-5 in Senators last 60 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Penguins last 9 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Penguins last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3-1 in Penguins last 12 home games.
  • Over is 19-8-3 in Penguins last 30 Thursday games.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in Penguins last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 45-21-7 in Penguins last 73 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Senators are 3-14 in the last 17 meetings in Pittsburgh.

Trends courtesy of SportsOptions.com – an UltimateCapper.com partner

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