Senators vs Penguins Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [Game 2]

By
Jay Cooper
-

Ottawa (1-0) at Pittsburgh (0-1)
When: Monday, May 15th 2017
Where: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: NBC Sports Network

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The Ottawa Senators are getting huge contributions from a couple of guys who had sub-par regular season campaigns and will look to take a commanding lead over the Pittsburgh Penguins in the Eastern Conference finals on Monday night. Bobby Ryan, who had a career-worst point total of 25 during the regular season, broke in alone on Marc-Andre Fleury and deeked the Pittsburgh goalie before flipping a backhand into the open net 4:59 into overtime to give visiting Ottawa a 2-1 victory in Game 1. The Senators improved to an impressive 6-1 when pushed beyond regulation during the postseason and take home ice away from the Penguins for now. “There’s a lot of things to like, but it’s just one game,” coach Guy Boucher said, “We won’t get too excited.” Jean-Gabriel Pageau’s one-timer in the first period Saturday gave the 24-year-old seven of his team-leading eight postseason goals in his last six games, this on the heels of scoring only 12 while playing in all 82 regular-season games. Pageau set up Ryan’s overtime winner to give Ottawa six wins in the extra session, pushing the club one shy of matching the 2002 Carolina Hurricanes and 2003 Anaheim (then-Mighty) Ducks and four behind the 1993 Montreal Canadiens for most during a playoff season.

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The Penguins showed signs of a hangover from a brutal seven-game series with bitter-rival Washington in the semifinals. Evgeni Malkin’s goal late in the third period forced overtime, but Pittsburgh struggled to generate any consistent pressure on Ottawa goalie Craig Anderson. The problem wasn’t Ottawa’s neutral zone trap designed to slow down teams but a decided lack of aggression once Malkin, captain Sidney Crosby and company crossed the Senators’ blue line. The Penguins managed only 17 shots in 5-on-5 situations, compared to 32 by Ottawa. Pittsburgh also gave it away 17 times, two of which led to goals. Pittsburgh defensemen Brian Dumoulin and Olli Maatta came under fire for their roles in Ottawa’s goals as the former’s decision to reverse the puck on a breakout led to Pageau’s goal while the latter was beaten on a sprint to the net by Ryan in overtime. Pittsburgh is 5-0 in Game 2 of a series dating back to last season’s Stanley Cup run.

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I fully expect the Penguins to come out with more fire and passion in Game 2. They haven’t seen much of Ottawa this season and they’ll make the adjustments they need to put more pressure on net. I’ll take the puckline again.

Pick: Penguins -1.5 +155

W/L TRENDS

Ottawa
  • Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 Conference Finals games.
  • Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
  • Senators are 7-2 in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Senators are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Senators are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
  • Senators are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
  • Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Metropolitan.
Pittsburgh
  • Penguins are 38-13 in their last 51 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 60-21 in their last 81 home games.
  • Penguins are 22-8 in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Penguins are 56-23 in their last 79 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Penguins are 68-32 in their last 100 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Penguins are 53-25 in their last 78 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 46-22 in their last 68 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Ottawa
  • Over is 2-0-3 in Senators last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 3-0-3 in Senators last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Senators last 4 Conference Finals games.
  • Over is 17-4 in Senators last 21 Monday games.
  • Over is 3-1-2 in Senators last 6 overall.
  • Over is 3-1-2 in Senators last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 3-1-2 in Senators last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 61-28-4 in Senators last 93 vs. Metropolitan.
  • Under is 36-17-4 in Senators last 57 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
  • Over is 7-1 in Penguins last 8 Monday games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Penguins last 5 vs. Atlantic.
  • Under is 4-1 in Penguins last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-2-1 in Penguins last 10 home games.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Penguins last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 43-19-7 in Penguins last 69 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.
  • Senators are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Pittsburgh.

Trends courtesy of SportsOptions.com – an UltimateCapper.com partner

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