Saturday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [7/18/26]

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JAY COOPER’S FREE MLB PICKS

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 7/16/26**


Cincinnati (Lowder) at Colorado (Sugano) – 3:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Hot: Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Reds are 0-5 in Lowder’s last 5 road starts.
Cold: Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Reds are 1-9 in Lowder’s last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Reds are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado.
Reds are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
Over is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: Rockies +101


NY Mets (Manaea) at Philadelphia (Luzardo) – 4:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 8-0 in Luzardo’s last 8 starts on grass.
Hot: Phillies are 7-0 in Luzardo’s last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Phillies are 7-0 in Luzardo’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Mets are 1-6 in Manaea’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Mets are 1-6 in Manaea’s last 7 Saturday starts.
Cold: Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 Saturday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 10-0-1 in Luzardo’s last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 9-0-2 in Manaea’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Luzardo’s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Luzardo’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Manaea’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Mets are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.
Mets are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Mets +142


St Louis (May) at Arizona (Pfaadt) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadt’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Diamondbacks are 2-6 in Pfaadt’s last 8 Saturday starts.
Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 Saturday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Pfaadt’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: Under is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 9-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 12 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Pfaadt’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Cardinals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: Diamondbacks +115

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Miami (Meyer) at Milwaukee (Drohan) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 6-0 in Meyer’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in Meyer’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in Meyer’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cold: Brewers are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Cold: Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Meyers last 4 road starts.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Meyers last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 13-3 in Marlins last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Pick: Marlins +116


Chicago White Sox (Martin) at Toronto (Bieber) – 3:07 ET

Win/Loss
White Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 Saturday games.
Blue Jays are 5-2 in Bieber’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: White Sox are 0-4 in Martin’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: White Sox are 1-6 in Martin’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-0 in White Sox last 8 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Martin’s last 4 road starts.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Martin’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: White Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings.
White Sox are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.

Pick: White Sox -109


Baltimore (Rogers) at Houston (Arrighetti) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Orioles are 7-0 in Rogers’ last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cold: Astros are 0-5 in Arrighetti’s last 5 starts.
Cold: Astros are 0-5 in Arrighetti’s last 5 starts on grass.
Cold: Orioles are 1-5 in Rogers’ last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Arrighetti’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rogers’ last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rogers’ last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 overall.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Orioles are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.

Pick: Orioles -105

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Tampa Bay (Seymour) at Boston (Sandoval) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Hot: Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Seymour’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Boston.
Rays are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Red Sox -111


Detroit (Skubal) at LA Angels (Rodriguez) – 10:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Hot: Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
Cold: Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Angels are 2-10 in their last 12 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Skubal’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 10-1 in Skubal’s last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Skubal’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Tigers -1.5 -112


Minnesota (Bradley) at Chicago Cubs (Boyd) – 2:20 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 6-0 in Boyd’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Twins are 6-0 in Bradley’s last 6 starts.
Hot: Twins are 6-0 in Bradley’s last 6 starts on grass.
Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Bradley’s last 6 road starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Boyd’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 interleague home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Twins are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

Pick: Cubs -1.5 +145

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Texas (Gore) at Atlanta (Murphy) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Hot: Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Rangers are 0-4 in Gore’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cold: Rangers are 0-4 in Gore’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0-2 in Gore’s last 6 road starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Gore’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Gore’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Gore’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Gore’s last 4 interleague starts.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Rangers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Over is 12-2-2 in the last 16 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

Pick: Braves -110


San Diego (Canning) at Kansas City (Dobnak) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Padres are 20-6 in their last 26 Saturday games.
Royals are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague road games.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
Cold: Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 Saturday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Canning’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Canning’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Canning’s last 6 starts overall.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Kansas City.

Pick: Padres -113


Pittsburgh (Ashcraft) at Cleveland (Allen) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcraft’s last 5 starts.
Cold: Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Pirates are 5-16 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Guardians are 7-18 in their last 25 vs. National League Central.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Ashcraft’s last 4 interleague starts.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
Pirates are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

Pick: Guardians +101

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San Francisco (Webb) at Seattle (Woo) – 8:08 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
Hot: Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-2 in Webb’s last 6 interleague starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Woo’s last 5 starts with 10 or more days of rest.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Woo’s last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Woo’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 interleague games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Giants are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Giants +115


LA Dodgers (Sheehan) at NY Yankees (Weathers) – 8:08 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Hot: Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Yankees are 0-4 in Weathers’ last 4 home starts.
Cold: Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 home games.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-6 in Sheehan’s last 7 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Dodgers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Dodgers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

Pick: Dodgers -107


Washington (Littell) at Athletics (Ginn) – 10:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: A’s are 8-1 in Ginns last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: A’s are 5-1 in Ginns last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: A’s are 5-1 in Ginns last 6 home starts.
Cold: A’s are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: A’s are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: A’s are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in A’s last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in A’s last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Athletics.
Nationals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Athletics.

Pick: Nationals +112


Pittsburgh (Jones) at Cleveland (Williams) – 1:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 8-0 in Jones’ last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Guardians are 3-13 in their last 16 opening games of a double-header.
Cold: Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games following a win.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Williams’ last 5 starts with 8 or more days of rest.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
Pirates are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

Pick: Pirates +110

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.