New Orleans (8-2) at LA Rams (7-3)
When: Sunday, November 26th 2017
Where: L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
Time: 4:25 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -2.5/54
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Two division leaders will hook-up on Sunday afternoon in what is probably the game of the week in the NFL as the Los Angeles Rams host the New Orleans Saints from the Coliseum. Both teams have exceeded expectations this year with the Rams second in the NFL in scoring offense (30.3), while the Saints are riding an eight-game winning streak thanks to an improved defense and their typical explosive offense. Los Angeles leads the NFC West by a game over Seattle but saw its four-game winning streak come to an end last week in a rare offensive struggle, 24-7 at Minnesota. The Rams are in for another test this week against New Orleans, which held six of its last eight opponents to 20 or fewer points. The injuries are starting to mount up for the defense as defensive end Alex Okafor will miss the rest of the season after suffering an Achilles injury in last week’s 34-31 win over Washington. The Saints top two defensive backs, Marshon Lattimore and Ken Crawley have been ruled out for Sunday. New Orleans signed CBs Sterling Moore and Dexter McDougal this week to help out.
New Orleans is averaging 30.2 points – third in the NFL right behind the Rams – and is taking the pressure off quarterback Drew Brees and the passing game with a ground attack led by veteran Mark Ingram and rookie Alvin Kamara. Ingram was named the NFC’s Offensive Player of the Week after rushing for 134 yards on just 11 carries in last week’s win and is over 1,000 yards from scrimmage on the season (806 rushing, 213 receiving). Kamara is closing-in on of 1,000 yards as well (459 rushing, 447 receiving) and has scored at least one TD in each of the last four games. The Saints hold a one-game lead over surging Carolina in the NFC South and will host the Panthers next week.
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Los Angeles’ offensive surge is led by second-year quarterback Jared Goff (16 touchdowns, 4 interceptions), but will be missing a key piece on Sunday as top wide receiver Robert Woods is dealing with a shoulder injury and will miss a few weeks. Rookie Cooper Kupp is second on the team with 481 receiving yards and will be expected to pick up the slack along with Sammy Watkins (408 yards, four TDs) and Tavon Austin, who does not have a catch in any of the last three games. The defense is ranked seventh in points allowed (18.6), but gives up a lot of yards on the ground (123.3), ranking 28th in that category.
The Saints may be down a couple of good corners, but the defense is still strong and I believe the offense will run all over the Rams, which will open things up for Brees. This is a dangerous New Orleans team that won’t get caught looking ahead to Carolina next week.
Pick: Saints +2
- Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
- Saints are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Saints are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
- Saints are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC.
- Saints are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Saints are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Saints are 40-17-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
- Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Rams are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Rams are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games in Week 12.
- Rams are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- Rams are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Rams are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
- Rams are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Rams are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
- Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rams are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.
- Rams are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. NFC.
- Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-2 in Saints last 9 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Saints last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games in Week 12.
- Over is 7-3 in Saints last 10 vs. NFC.
- Over is 9-4 in Saints last 13 games overall.
- Over is 9-4 in Saints last 13 games in November.
- Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 6-0 in Rams last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Rams last 8 games in Week 12.
- Over is 5-1 in Rams last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Rams last 9 games in November.
- Over is 7-2 in Rams last 9 games on grass.
- Under is 7-2 in Rams last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 10-3 in Rams last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2 in Rams last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Rams last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- Over is 18-8 in Rams last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
- Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.
