Royals vs Red Sox Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [7/29/17]

Kansas City (54-47) at Boston (56-48)
When: Saturday, July 29th 2017
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: FSN Kansas City, NESN
Opening Odds: Boston -140/9.5

Open an Account at Bovada Sportsbook Now! Sign up at Bovada.lv to get a $250 Signup Bonus to bet MLB Baseball odds and props!

The sizzling Kansas City Royals look for their 10th straight victory when they visit the struggling Boston Red Sox on Saturday night at Fenway Park in the second of a three-game weekend series. Kansas City has been winning with the combination of both solid pitching and red hot hitting. The pitching staff has allowed three or fewer runs in six of the last nine games, and the offense has hit 20 home runs during the streak. Mike Moustakas highlighted Friday’s 4-2 win with his 30th home run – eight more than his previous career high. He and the offense have catapulted the Royals into wild-card position in the American League and two games behind the Cleveland Indians in the Central. Eric Hosmer is also swinging a hot bat, going 7-for-10 with six runs scored and six RBIs in the last two games. The Red Sox spent the last month in first place in the AL East but fell to second place on Friday, one-half game behind the New York Yankees while falling for the fifth time in the last six games. Boston’s Eduardo Nunez made his team debut on Friday and went 2-for-3 out of the No. 2 spot in the order. Boston will hope Eduardo Rodriguez can slow down the Kansas City offense on Saturday while the Royals counter with Trevor Cahill, who was acquired from the San Diego Padres earlier in the week.

Pitchers: Royals – Trevor Cahill (4-3, 3.69 ERA) | Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (4-3, 3.89)

Cahill is back in the American League, where he began his career and spent three seasons with the Oakland Athletics from 2009-11. He pitched out of the bullpen for the Chicago Cubs in 2015 and 2016 but the Padres put him back into the rotation this season and he’s had pretty good success. Cahill allowed three or fewer earned runs in seven of his 11 starts with San Diego. His worst outing came in his Padres finale on July 21st, when he was hit for six runs – five earned – on seven hits and four walks in 3.2 innings at lowly San Francisco.

Rodriguez will make his third start since coming back from a knee injury and is looking for his first win since May 26th. He had a rough outing at Seattle on Monday, allowing four runs on six hits and two walks in 5.1 innings while taking the loss. Rodriguez faced Kansas City once last season and was beaten, allowing five runs on four hits and four walks in 5.1 innings.

[ad id=’36449′]

I’ve never been a big fan of Cahill on the mound, but he’s been better this season and right now, doesn’t need to do much. The Royals are playing out of their minds and they’re a pretty nice underdog here. I’ll take it.

Pick: Royals +128

W/L TRENDS

Kansas City
  • Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
  • Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Royals are 9-0 in their last 9 overall.
  • Royals are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
  • Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
  • Royals are 17-5 in their last 22 during game 2 of a series.
  • Royals are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a win.
  • Royals are 6-17 in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Boston
  • Red Sox are 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
  • Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Saturday games.
  • Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
  • Red Sox are 4-0 in Rodriguez’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 8-1 in Rodriguez’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Red Sox are 6-2 in Rodriguez’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 4-9 in Rodriguez’s last 13 home starts.
  • Red Sox are 2-6 in Rodriguez’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 1-5 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Red Sox are 0-6 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
  • Red Sox are 0-4 in Rodriguez’s last 4 Saturday starts.

OU TRENDS

Kansas City
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
  • Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games following a win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 18-6-2 in Royals last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
  • Over is 11-4-1 in Royals last 16 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3 in Royals last 11 vs. American League East.
  • Over is 11-5-1 in Royals last 17 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Boston
  • Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 Saturday games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
  • Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 games following a loss.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Red Sox last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Red Sox last 26 home games.
  • Under is 5-0 in Rodriguez’s last 5 Saturday starts.
  • Under is 7-0 in Rodriguez’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 5-0 in Rodriguez’s last 5 home starts.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 20-5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 26 starts overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
  • Under is 7-2 in Rodriguez’s last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 10-3 in Rodriguez’s last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 19-6-1 in Rodriguez’s last 26 starts on grass.
  • Under is 19-6-1 in Rodriguez’s last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Rodriguez’s last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Royals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
  • Over is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston.
  • Royals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 12-4-3 in the last 19 meetings.

CLICK HERE TO BET MLB BASEBALL ODDS AND PROPS