Colorado (46-52) at NY Yankees (64-33)
When: Sunday, July 21st, 2019
Where: Yankee Stadium,
Bronx, New York
Time: 1:05 ET | TV: TBS
Opening Odds: New York -190/11
To say the Colorado Rockies are in a free-fall would be an understatement. The gap in the National League Wild Card race is widening and the Rockies have dropped to 4.5 games behind the Phillies, Cardinals, and Brewers in the race for the second spot after losing their sixth straight game on Saturday to the New York Yankees and the pitching has been a mess. Saturday starter Antonio Senzatela couldn’t even get out of the second inning, allowing six runs and seven hits in the 11-5 setback to New York. Colorado has lost 13 of their last 15 overall and have a staff ERA of 8.90 in their last 10 games. One bright spot on Saturday was 3B Nolan Arenado’s three-run homer to extend his hitting streak to five games. The Yankees are trending in the opposite direction and are very close to running away with the American League East. After taking the series opener 8-2, the Yankees extended their winning streak to five straight games and improve to 14-0-1 over their last 15 series at home with Saturday’s win. Edwin Encarnacion has been heating up and collected a pair of hits along with three RBI on Saturday and he has knocked in 14 runs over a span of eight games as the Yankees have opened up a 10-game lead in the division. Former Rockie D.J. LeMahieu went 3-for-4 on Saturday and is 11-for-31 during a seven-game hitting streak as the Yankees improved to 8-2 all-time at home against Colorado.
Pitchers: Rockies – German Marquez (8-5, 5.12 ERA) | Yankees – James Paxton (5-4, 3.94)
German Marquez was tagged for a career-high 11 runs in just 2.2 innings his last time out against San Francisco, but still leads the National League in innings pitched (130). He has a 8.26 ERA since the beginning of June and has allowed 59 hits – 10 home runs – in 44.2 innings during that stretch. This will be his first ever start against the Yankees.
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James Paxton has been pitching much better of late but hasn’t been getting enough run support to post a victory. He’s allowed five runs total in his last three outings, but the Yankees scored seven total runs in that span and lost all three games. Paxton, who limited Tampa Bay to two runs over six innings on Monday, has a 3.52 ERA in three previous meetings with the Rockies.
This is a no-brainer here. Colorado’s season is spiraling out of control, while the Yankees bats have awaken after a brief slump. Marquez is in for another rough outing today and the Yankees will cruise behind an improving Paxton.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Sunday. He is 96-64 +2183 units on the season after an 10-3 run!
Pick: Yankees -1.5 -107
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BETTING TRENDS:
Rockies are 12-25 in their last 37 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague road games.
Rockies are 6-18 in their last 24 overall.
Rockies are 6-18 in their last 24 games on grass.
Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 6-20 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 Sunday games.
Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games.
Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 6-1 in Marquez’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Rockies are 8-2 in Marquez’s last 10 interleague starts.
Rockies are 9-3 in Marquez’s last 12 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 5-2 in Marquez’s last 7 Sunday starts.
Rockies are 27-11 in Marquez’s last 38 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 2-5 in Marquez’s last 7 road starts.
Rockies are 1-4 in Marquez’s last 5 starts.
Rockies are 1-4 in Marquez’s last 5 starts on grass.
Rockies are 1-4 in Marquez’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 1-5 in Marquez’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games.
Yankees are 42-13 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 3 of a series.
Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 41-14 in their last 55 games on grass.
Yankees are 65-23 in their last 88 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 65-23 in their last 88 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 37-14 in their last 51 home games.
Yankees are 23-9 in their last 32 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games.
Yankees are 39-16 in their last 55 games following a win.
Yankees are 56-23 in their last 79 overall.
Yankees are 39-16 in their last 55 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 36-16 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 9-4 in their last 13 Sunday games.
Yankees are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 53-26 in their last 79 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees are 55-27 in their last 82 vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees are 6-2 in Paxton’s last 8 home starts.
Yankees are 8-3 in Paxton’s last 11 starts on grass.
Yankees are 5-2 in Paxton’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 1-4 in Paxton’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 Sunday games.
Under is 8-3 in Rockies last 11 games following a loss.
Under is 28-11-3 in Rockies last 42 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 5-2-2 in Rockies last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 12-5 in Rockies last 17 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 7-3 in Rockies last 10 vs. American League East.
Over is 11-5 in Rockies last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Marquez’s last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Over is 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 interleague starts.
Over is 6-1 in Marquez’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Marquez’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 5-1 in Marquez’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Marquez’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 11-4-2 in Marquez’s last 17 road starts.
Under is 5-2 in Marquez’s last 7 Sunday starts.
Over is 10-4 in Marquez’s last 14 starts on grass.
Over is 10-4 in Marquez’s last 14 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Marquez’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Marquez’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3-1 in Marquez’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games following a win.
Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. National League West.
Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 on grass.
Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 Sunday games.
Under is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 17-5 in Yankees last 22 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Yankees last 9 home games.
Over is 11-4 in Yankees last 15 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 22-8 in Yankees last 30 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 16-6 in Yankees last 22 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 10-4 in Yankees last 14 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-3-1 in Yankees last 11 interleague games.
Over is 6-1 in Paxton’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Paxton’s last 5 starts overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
Rockies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
