Cincinnati (50-47) at NY Mets (55-42)
When: Friday, July 18th 2025
Where: Citi Field,
New York, NY
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB.tv
Opening Odds: New York -160/8
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Reds vs Mets Recent Meetings
| Date | Home/Away | H Starter | A Starter | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/8/24 | NYM 1 - CIN 3 | L. Severino | J. Aguiar | -201/8.5 | U |
| 9/7/24 | NYM 4 - CIN 0 | J. Quintana | J. Junis | -144/8 | U |
| 9/6/24 | NYM 6 - CIN 4 x | S. Manaea | F. Cruz | -161/8 | O |
| 4/7/24 | CIN 1 - NYM 3 | A. Abbott | S. Manaea | 105/8.5 | U |
| 4/6/24 | CIN 9 - NYM 6 | N. Martinez | L. Severino | -122/9.5 | O |
| 4/5/24 | CIN 2 - NYM 3 | H. Greene | J. Quintana | -129/8.5 | U |
| 2023 Season | |||||
| 9/17/23 | NYM 8 - CIN 4 | J. Quintana | B. Williamson | -131/9 | O |
| 9/16/23 | NYM 2 - CIN 3 | T. Megill | A. Abbott | -109/8.5 | U |
| 9/15/23 | NYM 3 - CIN 5 | D. Peterson | H. Greene | -111/8 | P |
| 5/11/23 | CIN 5 - NYM 0 | D. Law | K. Senga | 168/10 | U |
| 5/10/23 | CIN 1 - NYM 2 | H. Greene | J. Verlander | 143/9 | U |
| 5/9/23 | CIN 7 - NYM 6 | L. Weaver | D. Peterson | 144/10.5 | O |
| 2022 Season | |||||
| 8/10/22 | NYM 10 - CIN 2 | T. Walker | T. Zeuch | -312/8.5 | O |
| 8/9/22 | NYM 6 - CIN 2 | C. Carrasco | M. Minor | -287/8.5 | U |
| 8/8/22 | NYM 5 - CIN 1 | C. Bassitt | J. Dunn | -344/9.5 | U |
| 7/6/22 | CIN 3 - NYM 8 x | G. Ashcraft | D. Peterson | 152/9.5 | O |
| 7/5/22 | CIN 1 - NYM 0 | N. Lodolo | M. Scherzer | 196/9 | U |
| 7/4/22 | CIN 4 - NYM 7 | H. Greene | T. Walker | 153/10 | O |
| 2021 Season | |||||
| 8/1/21 | NYM 1 - CIN 7 | M. Stroman | V. Gutierrez | -181/8.5 | U |
| 7/31/21 | NYM 5 - CIN 4 x | R. Hill | W. Miley | -121/9 | P |
Nick Lodolo L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/10/25 | MIA | S | W | 6-0 | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 15.2 | .60 |
| 7/5/25 | @ PHI | S | L | 1-5 | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 85 | 14.2 | 2.50 |
| 6/29/25 | SD | S | ND | 3-2 | 5.1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 95 | 17.8 | 8.00 |
| 6/23/25 | NYY | S | ND | 6-1 | 4.1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 21.7 | 1.00 |
| 6/18/25 | MIN | S | W | 4-2 | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 87 | 14.5 | 1.75 |
| 6/11/25 | @ CLE | S | L | 2-11 | 3.1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 76 | 22.8 | .00 |
| 6/6/25 | AZ | S | ND | 4-3 | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 86 | 14.3 | 1.67 |
| 5/31/25 | @ CHC | S | ND | 0-2 | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 15.7 | 2.50 |
| 5/25/25 | CHC | S | ND | 8-11 | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 91 | 18.2 | 1.00 |
| 5/19/25 | @ PIT | S | W | 7-1 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 14.8 | 2.33 |
Sean Manaea L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/13/25 | @ KC | R | L | 2-3 | 3.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 19.5 | .00 |
| 10/20/24 | @ LAD | S | L | 5-10 | 2.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 64 | 32.0 | 2.00 |
| 10/14/24 | @ LAD | S | W | 7-3 | 5.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 87 | 17.4 | .67 |
| 10/8/24 | PHI | S | W | 7-2 | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 91 | 13.0 | 2.00 |
| 10/2/24 | @ MIL | S | ND | 3-5 | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 17.2 | 1.50 |
| 9/27/24 | @ MIL | S | L | 4-8 | 3.2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 91 | 24.8 | 1.33 |
| 9/21/24 | PHI | S | W | 6-3 | 7.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 89 | 12.7 | .75 |
| 9/16/24 | WAS | S | ND | 2-1 | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 85 | 12.1 | 8.00 |
| 9/11/24 | @ TOR | S | ND | 6-2 | 6.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 109 | 16.3 | 1.25 |
| 9/6/24 | CIN | S | ND | 6-4 | 6.2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 97 | 14.5 | 3.00 |
Prediction
Cincinnati is a team to look out for in the second half of the season. They are only 2.5 games out of a wild card spot and have been playing well. The Mets are just 3-4 in their last 7 games and shouldn’t be this big of a favorite with Manaea on the mound. Manaea is still in spring training mode, while Lodolo has had a very solid season to date. Lodolo also pitches better on the road, sporting a 0.95 WHIP in nine road starts. I can’t resist this price with Cincinnati tonight.
Pick: Reds +145
