Cincinnati (44-53) at Milwaukee (53-48)
When: Monday, July 22nd, 2019
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FS Ohio,
FS Wisconsin
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -120/9
Just over two weeks ago – July 4th to be exact – the entire National League Central was separated by 3.5 games with the Reds holding down last place but with high hopes. Fast forward to July 22nd and Cincinnati stands nine games behind the Chicago Cubs in the division after a rough stretch in which they have lost each of their last four series. The Reds lost for the fifth time in six tries and fell to 3-9 in their last 12 following Sunday’s 3-1 setback against St. Louis. Cincinnati will open a three-game series on the road against the second place Milwaukee Brewers on Monday as Sonny Gray opposes fellow righty Chase Anderson. Cincinnati OF Yasiel Puig has been one of the hottest hitters in the league, batting .361 in July and has been even better this season versus Milwaukee (.389 with four homers and 12 RBI). The Brewers are trending in the opposite direction after losing three straight to the Reds earlier this month. Milwaukee has won five of their last six following Sunday’s 7-4 victory at Arizona, which allowed them to maintain a one-half game lead for the second wild-card spot in the National League and remain two back of the Cubs. Rookie 2B Keston Hiura has multiple hits in eight of his last 10 games for Milwaukee and at least one hit in 17 of his last 19. The Brewers hold a 7-6 edge in the season series but Cincinnati has shutout Milwaukee three times.
Pitchers: Reds – Sonny Gray (5-6, 3.40 ERA) | Brewers – Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.96)
Gray could be the front-runner for the NL Pitcher of the Month so far after limiting some pretty good offenses in check the last three starts, including Milwaukee. He shutout the Brewers over eight innings on July 3rd, then held Colorado to one run in seven innings – at Coors Field. Gray’s latest outing was a 5-2 loss at the Cubs but he allowed just two hits – two solo homers – on Wednesday across six innings. He is 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA in three starts this season against Milwaukee.
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Anderson has also been rolling along lately, surrendering no more than two runs in each of his last five starts including 5.2 scoreless innings Wednesday in a victory over Atlanta. The Brewers have won only two of those five starts because their porous bullpen couldn’t support the righty. Anderson is 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA in 13 career starts versus the Reds.
Both Gray and Anderson have been pitching outstanding lately, but the Milwaukee offense is heating up again, while the Reds are in a funk. Look Cincinnati’s slide to continue in the series opener here.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 97-64 +2283 units on the season after an 11-3 run!
Pick: Brewers -125
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BETTING TRENDS:
Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.
Reds are 18-39 in their last 57 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 16-35 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
Reds are 8-1 in Gray’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 6-1 in Gray’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Reds are 8-3 in Gray’s last 11 starts.
Reds are 8-3 in Gray’s last 11 starts on grass.
Reds are 2-5 in Gray’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 Monday games.
Brewers are 11-5 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 2-5 in Anderson’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Brewers are 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 8-2 in Reds last 10 vs. National League Central.
Under is 15-5-1 in Reds last 21 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 42-16-1 in Reds last 59 road games.
Under is 28-11-1 in Reds last 40 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 35-15-1 in Reds last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 49-22-4 in Reds last 75 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 37-17-1 in Reds last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 15-7 in Reds last 22 games following a loss.
Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 74-36-4 in Reds last 114 overall.
Under is 74-36-4 in Reds last 114 on grass.
Under is 4-0-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-0 in Gray’s last 4 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Gray’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Gray’s last 4 starts overall.
Under is 3-0-1 in Gray’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in Gray’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Gray’s last 5 road starts.
Under is 4-1-1 in Gray’s last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-2-1 in Gray’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-2-1 in Brewers last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 9-3-1 in Brewers last 13 overall.
Over is 9-3-1 in Brewers last 13 on grass.
Over is 9-3-1 in Brewers last 13 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 15-6 in Brewers last 21 Monday games.
Under is 5-2-1 in Brewers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-3-1 in Brewers last 11 home games.
Under is 4-0 in Anderson’s last 4 Monday starts.
Over is 5-0 in Anderson’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-2-3 in Anderson’s last 12 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 14-5-2 in Anderson’s last 21 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 5-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Under is 3-1-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts vs. Reds.
Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.
Brewers are 3-7 in Anderson’s last 10 starts vs. Reds.
