Boston (55-27) at NY Yankees (52-26)
When: Friday, June 29th 2018
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: New York -115/9
One of the more anticipated series to date begins Friday night in Yankee Stadium as the surging Boston Red Sox visit the New York Yankees in the first of three that will conclude on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. Boston comes in with a one-game lead in the American League East after dominating the Los Angeles Angels in a three-game sweep this week, while the Yankees were blanked twice during a 2-4 road trip that concluded with a 3-0 setback in the finale of a three-game interleague series in Philadelphia. Slugger Aaron Judge was given the day off Wednesday and will have two days of rest as he seeks to continue pounding Red Sox pitching. He is 11-for-21 with two homers this year against them and 0-for-4 versus Friday starter Eduardo Rodriguez, but has drawn four walks. The Yankees bullpen has been unhittable in the month of June, posting a 0.90 ERA while allowing 38 hits in 80 innings. The Red Sox blasted nine home runs while sweeping the Angels, which was capped by Thursday’s 4-2 triumph that completed a 5-1 homestand. The teams have split their first six games and have spent every day since the beginning of May within 2.5 games of one another atop the division. CF Jackie Bradley Jr. has gone 8-for-14 with two homers over his last four games for Boston to raise his batting average from .178 to .202.
Pitchers: Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (9-2, 3.86 ERA) | Yankees – CC Sabathia (4-3, 3.18)
Rodriguez ran into a hot Seattle Mariners team last time out, ending his six-game winning streak when he allowed five runs – four earned – in four innings. Rodriguez has a 4-0 record and 3.57 ERA in six road starts including five scoreless innings with eight strikeouts at Yankee Stadium on May 10th. He is 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 10 career outings versus New York.
CC Sabathia has been pretty consistent all season despite dropping back-to-back starts for only the second time since the beginning of the 2017 season. The big lefty has allowed just four earned runs in 13 innings during those last two outings. Sabathia pitched a season low-tying four innings opposite Rodriguez on May 10th, giving up four runs and nine hits. He’s been better at home, posting a 2.74 ERA in eight starts at Yankee Stadium this year.
This is a pretty even pitching matchup here, so I’m going to go with the hotter offense in Boston. The Red Sox are averaging 7.4 runs a game over their last seven and hit Sabathia pretty hard back in May.
Pick: Red Sox +115
BETTING TRENDS:
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 38-14 in their last 52 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 37-17 in their last 54 games following a win.
- Red Sox are 55-26 in their last 81 overall.
- Red Sox are 35-17 in their last 52 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 Friday games.
- Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Rodriguez’s last 7 road starts.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Rodriguez’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Rodriguez’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in Rodriguez’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Red Sox are 15-3 in Rodriguez’s last 18 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 Friday starts.
- Red Sox are 16-5 in Rodriguez’s last 21 starts.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games.
- Yankees are 48-14 in their last 62 home games.
- Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Yankees are 21-7 in their last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 41-14 in their last 55 games on grass.
- Yankees are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 43-17 in their last 60 overall.
- Yankees are 54-22 in their last 76 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 36-15 in their last 51 games following a loss.
- Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Yankees are 18-6 in Sabathia’s last 24 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 19-7 in Sabathia’s last 26 home starts.
- Yankees are 8-3 in Sabathia’s last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 15-6 in Sabathia’s last 21 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 44-18 in Sabathia’s last 62 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 57-26 in Sabathia’s last 83 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 2-5 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 1-5 in Sabathia’s last 6 Friday starts.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Red Sox last 12 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 14-5-2 in Rodriguez’s last 21 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3 in Rodriguez’s last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 23-9-2 in Rodriguez’s last 34 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2 in Rodriguez’s last 7 Friday starts.
- Under is 22-9-1 in Rodriguez’s last 32 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 17-8-2 in Rodriguez’s last 27 road starts.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 Friday games.
- Under is 8-1 in Yankees last 9 games following an off day.
- Under is 8-1 in Yankees last 9 vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 21-4-1 in Yankees last 26 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Yankees last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 20-5-1 in Yankees last 26 on grass.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Yankees last 16 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 17-5 in Yankees last 22 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Sabathia’s last 30 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 14-6-1 in Sabathia’s last 21 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 35-15-2 in Sabathia’s last 52 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 22-10-1 in Sabathia’s last 33 starts on grass.
- Under is 35-16-2 in Sabathia’s last 53 starts overall.
- Under is 28-13-3 in Sabathia’s last 44 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 9-0 in Sabathia’s last 9 home starts vs. Red Sox.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 starts vs. Red Sox.
- Under is 5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 road starts vs. Yankees.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Sabathia’s last 17 starts vs. Red Sox.
- Under is 8-2 in Rodriguez’s last 10 starts vs. Yankees.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
- Yankees are 5-2 in Sabathia’s last 7 home starts vs. Red Sox.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
