Toronto (1-1) at Golden State (1-1)
When: Wednesday, June 5th, 2019
Where: Oracle Arena,
Oakland, California
Time: 9:00 ET | TV: ABC
Opening Odds: Golden State -5.5/214
The Golden State Warriors have one of the deepest rosters in the league – if not the deepest – but its starting to get thin and they will limp back home for Game 3 of the NBA Finals after splitting the first two games in Toronto. The Warriors were able to go 6-0 without star Kevin Durant until losing Game 1 of the Finals but bounced back strong for a 109-104 Game 2 victory that may have come at a big cost. Backup center Kevon Looney, who’s been so big in Durant’s abscence, is out for the rest of the series with a non-displaced first costal cartilage fracture (ouch). Then, guard Klay Thompson injured his left hamstring and considers himself a game-time decision despite coach Steve Kerr listing him as questionable. Kerr indicated that Thompson will be monitored closely leading up to Game 3 as he expects he will want to play no matter how he is feeling. “Klay is always going to say he’s ready to go,” Kerr said. The Raptors will try and regain homecourt advantage by winning at least one of the next two in Oakland but will need to shoot better than 11-of-38 (28.9%) from 3-point land. Toronto did activate OG Anunoby for Game 2, but he did not play. Kyle Lowry fouled out of the game for Toronto after playing just 28 minutes and Kawhi Leonard scored 34 points on 8-of-20 shooting, but also turned the ball over five times. The Raptors won their only trip to Oakland back in December 113-93 without Leonard, holding Steph Curry to 10 points on 3-of-12 shooting.
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Toronto wasn’t shooting much better inside the 3-point either, recording just a 37.2 percent field goal percentage in Game 2 Leonard, power forward Pascal Siakam (5-of-18) and point guard Kyle Lowry (4-of-11) were cold. Siakam couldn’t follow-up his 32-point performance from Game 1 and had just 12 on Sunday. Reserve point guard Fred VanVleet had 17 points in Game 2 and is averaging 16 over the past five games.
Golden State may not see Durant on the court for the rest of the series and he didn’t practice with the team on Tuesday, but instead had his own workout at the team practice facility later in the day. Curry is averaging 28.5 points in the series but is just 14-of-35 from the field. Thompson is 7-for-12 from long range over the first two games and his potential abscence could really affect this series, as he also plays an underrated defense. Draymond Green flirted with another triple-double, going off for 17 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists in Game 2.
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Toronto shot poorly in Game 2 and still had a chance to win near the end. They’re a team that won’t go away and is quite frankly, healthier than Golden State right now. The Raptors also proved they can win in Oakland by beating the Warriors by 20 back in December without Kawhi. I’ll take the points in this one.
Pick: Raptors +5
Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NBA Championship games.
Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.
Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Warriors are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Warriors are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Warriors are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Over is 8-1 in Raptors last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-2-1 in Raptors last 11 road games.
Under is 8-2-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Raptors last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-2-1 in Raptors last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 NBA Championship games.
Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 8-2-1 in Warriors last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 Wednesday games.
Over is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 games following a straight up win.
Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 13-6 in Warriors last 19 home games.
Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Golden State.
Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Raptors are 9-19-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings.
Raptors are 3-11 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Golden State.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
