MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions

Rangers vs Red Sox Odds and Free Prediction [5/6/25]

May 5, 2025

Texas (17-18) at Boston (18-18)
When: Tuesday, May 6th 2025
Where: Fenway Park,
Boston, MA
Time: 6:45 ET | TV: MLB.tv
Opening Odds: Boston -110/8.5

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Rangers vs Red Sox Recent Meetings

Date	Home/Away	H Starter	A Starter	Line	O/U

Date	Home/Away	H Starter	A Starter	Line	O/U
3/30/25	TEX 3 - BOS 2	J. deGrom	R. Fitts	-148/7.5	U
3/29/25	TEX 4 - BOS 3	T. Mahle	W. Buehler	-113/9	U
3/28/25	TEX 4 - BOS 1	J. Leiter	T. Houck	100/9	U
3/27/25	TEX 2 - BOS 5	N. Eovaldi	G. Crochet	114/8	U
2024 Season
8/14/24	BOS 7 - TEX 9 x	T. Houck	D. Dunning	-129/9.5	O
8/13/24	BOS 9 - TEX 4	K. Crawford	J. Urena	-136/10	O
8/12/24	BOS 5 - TEX 4 x	B. Bello	T. Mahle	-122/9	P
8/4/24	TEX 2 - BOS 7	N. Eovaldi	N. Pivetta	-114/7.5	O
8/3/24	TEX 7 - BOS 4	C. Bradford	T. Houck	-113/8.5	O
8/2/24	TEX 6 - BOS 11	J. Urena	K. Crawford	-111/9	O
2023 Season
9/20/23	TEX 15 - BOS 5	J. Gray	B. Bello	-144/9	O
9/19/23	TEX 6 - BOS 4	N. Eovaldi	T. Houck	-144/9	O
9/18/23	TEX 2 - BOS 4	J. Montgomery	K. Crawford	-174/9	U
7/6/23	BOS 10 - TEX 6	K. Crawford	N. Eovaldi	125/9.5	O
7/5/23	BOS 4 - TEX 2	B. Bello	J. Gray	100/10	U
7/4/23	BOS 2 - TEX 6	B. Bernardino	D. Dunning	104/10.5	U
2022 Season
9/4/22	BOS 5 - TEX 2	J. Winckowski	D. Dunning	-110/9.5	U
9/3/22	BOS 5 - TEX 3	B. Bello	D. Santana	-152/9.5	U
9/2/22	BOS 9 - TEX 1	N. Pivetta	D. Keuchel	-186/9.5	O
9/1/22	BOS 9 - TEX 8	R. Hill	G. Otto	-162/9	O

Courtesy of Don Best Sports

Nathan Eovaldi L10 Starts

Date	vs	S/R	Res	Score	IP	H	R	ER	K	BB	HR	P	P/IP	GB:FB
4/30/25	ATH	S	ND	1-7	6.0	6	1	1	8	0	0	92	15.3	3.00
4/25/25	@ SF	S	W	2-0	6.0	3	0	0	7	1	0	99	16.5	1.00
4/19/25	LAD	S	ND	4-3	6.0	5	3	2	7	0	1	90	15.0	1.75
4/13/25	@ SEA	S	L	1-3	5.0	5	3	2	3	0	1	89	17.8	2.00
4/7/25	@ CHC	S	L	0-7	4.2	4	3	3	4	2	0	87	18.6	2.33
4/1/25	@ CIN	S	W	1-0	9.0	4	0	0	8	0	0	99	11.0	14.00
3/27/25	BOS	S	ND	2-5	6.0	3	2	2	9	0	1	87	14.5	2.50
9/29/24	@ LAA	S	W	8-0	7.0	4	0	0	5	1	0	92	13.1	3.67
9/24/24	@ ATH	S	ND	4-5	7.0	4	4	3	7	3	0	90	12.9	1.40
9/17/24	TOR	S	ND	13-8	4.2	11	7	7	4	2	1	93	19.9	1.67

Courtesy of Don Best Sports

Lucas Giolito L10 Starts

Date	vs	S/R	Res	Score	IP	H	R	ER	K	BB	HR	P	P/IP	GB:FB

Date	vs	S/R	Res	Score	IP	H	R	ER	K	BB	HR	P	P/IP	GB:FB
4/30/25	@ TOR	S	ND	6-7	6.0	5	3	3	7	2	2	90	15.0	1.00
10/1/23	@ DET (CLE )	S	L	2-5	5.0	7	5	5	4	4	1	106	21.2	2.50
9/26/23	CIN (CLE )	S	ND	7-11	3.1	4	5	5	5	5	3	98	29.4	1.00
9/20/23	@ KC (CLE )	S	L	2-6	5.1	7	4	3	6	3	1	105	19.7	4.00
9/15/23	TEX (CLE )	S	W	12-3	7.0	2	0	0	12	1	0	100	14.3	.75
9/9/23	@ LAA (CLE )	S	L	2-6	7.0	3	4	2	9	0	3	92	13.1	3.50
9/4/23	MIN (CLE )	S	L	6-20	3.0	7	9	9	3	3	3	76	25.3	.50
8/28/23	@ PHI (LAA )	S	L	4-6	5.2	4	5	5	6	4	3	106	18.7	1.25
8/22/23	CIN (LAA )	S	L	3-4	6.0	5	4	1	9	2	1	100	16.7	2.00
8/15/23	@ TEX (LAA )	S	L	3-7	6.0	7	4	4	5	2	1	110	18.3	2.50

Courtesy of Don Best Sports

Prediction

This looks like a low-scoring game to me. The Rangers have the fewest runs scored in the American League and they’ve scored over two runs just twice in their last 10 games. Boston has been scoring runs, but they’ll be going up against a red-hot pitcher in Eovaldi. He has a 2.11 ERA and 0.77 WHIP and six of his seven starts have gone under the total. Giolito is making just his second start since 2023 and was rusty last week. I expect him to be better tonight. These teams played a four-game series back on opening week and all four went under.

Pick: UNDER 9 -120

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Rangers vs Red Sox Recent Meetings

Nathan Eovaldi L10 Starts

Lucas Giolito L10 Starts

Prediction

Pick: UNDER 9 -120

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