Oakland (3-5) at Miami (4-3)
When: Sunday, November 5th 2017
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Time: 8:30 ET | TV: NBC
Opening Odds: Oakland -2.5/43.5
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Jay Cutler will be back under center on Sunday to try and jumpstart the NFL’s worst offense as the Miami Dolphins host the Oakland Raiders on Sunday Night Football. Coach Adam Gase is not happy with what he’s seen from his offense after his team was shutout for the second time in five games last Thursday night in an embarrassing 40-0 loss at Baltimore. Cutler won’t have running back Jay Ajayi to hand the ball off to, as he was traded last week to Philadelphia for a fourth-round pick in the 2018 draft. The rushing duties will fall on Kenyan Drake (25 yards) and third-down specialist Damien Williams (32 yards). A lack of a running game has hurt Derek Carr and the Raiders this season, especially in their 34-14 loss at Buffalo last week – their fifth setback in six games to fall into last place in the AFC West (tied with Chargers). This will be the first meeting between the Raiders and Dolphins in over three years, with Miami covering the spread in the last four matchups dating back to 2010.
Carr followed up his 417-yard performance in a 31-30 won over Kansas City with a 313-yard effort against Buffalo, but he also threw two picks for the third time in five games. Wideout Michael Crabtree saw his three-game touchdown streak end last week, while Amari Cooper’s breakout effort against the Chiefs (11 catches, 210 yards) was followed by a 48-yard performance last week. Reigning NFL Defensive Player of the Year Khalil Mack has been held in check of late, registering just a half-sack over his last four games. The Raiders are -6 in turnover differential this season after finishing the 2016 season at an NFL best-tying +16.
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Cutler, who missed one game due to multiple cracked ribs, is expected back provided he has a high pain tolerance. Right now, he’s listed as probable for Sunday night’s contest. Wide receiver Jarvis Landry is now the main offensive weapon with Ajayi gone, and he ranks second in the league with 50 catches, but for just an eight-yard average. Fellow wideout DeVante Parker is set to return from a three-game absence due to an ankle injury which gives Cutler another solid option. Defensive end Cameron Wake has recorded a team-leading six sacks in his last seven games for a Miami defense that ranks seventh overall in the league. This will be the middle of three-straight prime time games for Miami, as they head to Carolina next Monday night.
Cuter’s return means nothing. Miami’s offense is still terrible and this is a great opportunity for Oakland to get back on track. Look for Carr to have another big game and for the Raiders defense to force a few key turnovers in the win tonight.
Pick: Raiders -3
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Raiders are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 9.
- Dolphins are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 6-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dolphins are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss.
- Dolphins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 15-43-2 ATS in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Dolphins are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Raiders last 7 games in Week 9.
- Over is 19-5-3 in Raiders last 27 games in November.
- Under is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 road games.
- Over is 16-6-1 in Raiders last 23 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 21-8-1 in Raiders last 30 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Raiders last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 11-5 in Raiders last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- Over is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games in November.
- Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 games overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 home games.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Dolphins last 9 games in Week 9.
- Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- Under is 13-5-1 in Dolphins last 19 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 vs. AFC.
- Under is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
