Raiders vs Chiefs Preview & Free Pick [October 10th 2022]

Las Vegas (1-3) at Kansas City (3-1)
When: Monday, October 10th 2022
Where: Arrowhead Stadium,
Kansas City, MO
Time: 8:15 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Kansas City -7/51

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The Las Vegas Raiders’ defense has been one of the worst in the league and now they play a team that has dominated them in recent years in prime time. The Raiders visit the high-powered Kansas City Chiefs in a battle of first and last place in the AFC West from Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City has won 13 of the last 15 meetings between these teams including the last three by a combined 124-54. The Raiders will look to tighten up a defense that has surrendered 100 points already in 2022 after last week’s 32-23 home win over the Denver Broncos. Las Vegas had success in one-score games last year, going 7-2, but are already 0-3 in such games this season.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ offense keeps rolling behind Patrick Mahomes, who already has 11 touchdowns this season. K.C. rebounded from a shocking 20-17 loss to the Indianapolis Colts by winning 41-31 at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last Sunday night. This will be the Chiefs third prime time game this year and have two more scheduled for later this season. Kansas City put up 89 points in the two meetings with Las Vegas last year including a 48-9 whipping at Arrowhead. That was the largest margin of victory in a series that began in 1960 and has been played 126 times. The previous record was 35 points in 1964. The Raiders will be 7-point underdogs Monday night. The home team is 8-3 against the spread in the past 11 meetings.


Josh McDaniels got his first win as a head coach of the Raiders on Sunday, beating the team who fired him in 2010, the Denver Broncos. Running back Josh Jacobs ran for a career-high 144 yards and two touchdowns. That is the first Raider to rush for at least 130 yards and two TDs in a game since Darren McFadden 2011. Overall, the Raiders finished with 212 yards rushing for their most in a game since getting 218 against the Broncos in 2016. Quarterback Derek Carr didn’t throw a TD last week and has completed 61 percent of his passes for 1,038 yards with six touchdowns and four interceptions on the season. Starting linebacker Denzel Perryman left in the first half and is in the concussion protocol, while receiver Hunter Renfrow missed the game because he’s in the protocol. The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their past six road games.


Kansas City won the Super Bowl 55 rematch with Tampa Bay last week thanks to Mahomes’ 249 yards and three scores. Mahomes became the fastest QB ever to reach 20,000 career passing yards, doing it in 67 games. The previous record was 71 games held by Matthew Stafford. The Chiefs also rushed for a season-high 189 yards against a Bucs team that had the NFL’s best scoring defense entering Week 4. Kicker Harrison Butker, one of the league’s best, missed his third straight game with an ankle injury. If he can’t play, the Chiefs will stick with Matthew Wright, who made both of his field goals and all five of his extra points on Sunday. The Chiefs are 7-1-1 ATS in their past nine Monday games. Travis Kelce (26 receptions, 322 yards, 3 TDs) and wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster (19 receptions, 224 yards) are having strong seasons so far.

This is one of my least favorite games on the board. This line should be closer 10 than 7. All the trends point towards Kansas City, but we know what betting is like in the NFL. The Chiefs do tend to play up and down to their level of competition. They are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against teams with a losing record. I’ll take the points and pray the Raiders can run the ball effectively like they did last week.

Week 5 NFL Staff Selections

Pick: Raiders +7