Pittsburgh (30-33) at Milwaukee (37-28)
When: Sunday, June 9th, 2019
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, WI
Time: 2:10 ET | TV: FS Wisconsin,
AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -177/10
The Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates have played six times this season and have together averaged 13.2 runs a contest, so Saturday’s 5-3 Milwaukee victory was a pretty low-scoring affair. Steven Brault and Chase Anderson will be the pitchers Sunday that will try and keep the offenses at bay when the Brewers go for the three-game sweep and sixth victory in seven chances in the season series. Milwaukee has won six of their last nine games overall and tied with the Chicago Cubs atop the National League Central. The Brewers, who also won the series opener on Friday 10-4, took three of four at Pittsburgh last weekend to give the Pirates their 11th loss in last 16 games. Mike Moustakas continues to rake for Milwaukee, bashing his 19th homer of the season Saturday and his sixth in eight games. The Pirates fell six games behind the pace in the division but are just 4.5 back of the second NL Wild Card spot. First baseman Josh Bell raised his major league-leading RBI total to 57 with a sacrifice fly Saturday.
Pitchers: Pirates – Steven Brault (2-1, 5.45 ERA) | Brewers – Chase Anderson (3-1, 3.93)
Brault will make his 11th appearance – fifth start – of the season and has been solid in his last two starts, allowing two runs – one earned – and eight hits over 9.1 innings. The free passes are adding up and that contributed to his early exit on Tuesday against Atlanta after he walked three and reached 93 pitches in just four innings. Brault did not start against Milwaukee in 2018 but did make six relief appearances and allowed seven runs and eight hits over 7.2 innings.
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Anderson has also spent some time in the bullpen this season but is now back to being a full-time starter. He was knocked around by the Miami Marlins in his latest outing, surrendering four runs on seven hits (three homers) in four innings and has yet to get past the fifth inning this season. Anderson pitched well in his previous outing – against Pittsburgh – earning the win by allowing two runs and six hits in five innings.
The Brewers have been dominating the Pirates all season and even though Anderson was rocked in his last outing, he did pitch well against Pittsburgh 10 days ago. Brault does not have good numbers against the Brewers and probably won’t last long. I’ll take the runline here.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Sunday. He is 76-47 +2217 units on the season after a 26-9 run!
Pick: Brewers -1.5 +107
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BETTING TRENDS:
Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Pirates are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
Pirates are 8-1 in Brault’s last 9 starts vs. National League Central.
Pirates are 4-1 in Brault’s last 5 starts.
Pirates are 4-1 in Brault’s last 5 starts on grass.
Pirates are 4-1 in Brault’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 5-2 in Brault’s last 7 road starts.
Pirates are 5-2 in Brault’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Pirates are 2-5 in Brault’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games.
Brewers are 23-9 in their last 32 during game 3 of a series.
Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.
Brewers are 38-17 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Brewers are 11-5 in their last 16 home games.
Brewers are 41-19 in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Brewers are 6-1 in Anderson’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Brewers are 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 7-3 in Anderson’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Brewers are 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 1-5 in Anderson’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Brewers are 1-5 in Anderson’s last 6 Sunday starts.
Over is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 Sunday games.
Over is 11-3 in Pirates last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 11-3 in Pirates last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 10-3 in Pirates last 13 games following a loss.
Over is 6-2-1 in Pirates last 9 road games.
Over is 9-3-1 in Pirates last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 26-9-1 in Pirates last 36 overall.
Over is 26-9-1 in Pirates last 36 on grass.
Over is 5-2-1 in Pirates last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 20-8-1 in Pirates last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-3-1 in Pirates last 11 vs. National League Central.
Over is 5-0-2 in Brault’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1-2 in Brault’s last 8 starts on grass.
Over is 5-1-2 in Brault’s last 8 starts overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in Brault’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Brault’s last 5 road starts.
Under is 3-1-1 in Brault’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Brault’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 12-2 in Brewers last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 Sunday games.
Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 19-7 in Brewers last 26 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 vs. National League Central.
Over is 3-0-1 in Anderson’s last 4 Sunday starts.
Over is 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 12-3-2 in Anderson’s last 17 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 4-1-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 25-9 in Anderson’s last 34 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Brewers are 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 home starts vs. Pirates.
Brewers are 7-2 in Anderson’s last 9 starts vs. Pirates.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Pirates are 30-75 in the last 105 meetings in Milwaukee.
Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
