Philadelphia (21-15) at Kansas City (13-25)
When: Friday, May 10th, 2019
Where: Kauffman Stadium,
Kansas City, MO
Time: 8:15 ET | TV: NBCS Philly,
FS Kansas City
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -136/9.5
The Philadelphia Phillies have used a 14-7 home record to catapult themselves to the top of the National League East standings, but they’ve put together back-to-back road wins to begin their six-game ‘Show Me State’ trip through Missouri. The Phillies came out flat in a 6-0 loss to start the trip at St. Louis, but bounced back by outscoring the Cardinals 16-1 in taking the next two. Up next are the Kansas City Royals, who have dropped five of their last seven and now own the American League’s worst record at 13-25. Cesar Hernandez homered in the Phillies’ 5-0 over St. Louis on Wednesday and is batting .357 with 11 extra-base hits (eight doubles, three homers) and 10 RBIs in his last 26 games. Philadelphia has won nine of its last 13 thanks to some solid starting pitching, with the hurlers posting a 2.42 ERA in that span. Former National League Cy Young Award recipient Jake Arrieta will oppose Kansas City’s Homer Bailey in the series opener Friday. Billy Hamilton had two of the three hits for the Royals in their 9-0 loss at Houston Wednesday, improving to 4-for-12 in the series after a 2-for-24 stretch. Kansas City, which begins interleague play on Friday, went 6-14 against the National League last season.
Pitchers: Phillies – Jake Arrieta (4-2, 3.40 ERA) | Royals – Homer Bailey (3-3, 5.25)
Arrieta will make his ninth start of the season but just his third away from home after splitting the first two and posting a 2.77 ERA with 15 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. He’s coming off a no-decision in which he allowed three runs (two earned) on five hits against Washington. Arrieta has pitched at least six innings in seven of his eight starts in 2019 but has allowed three of his five home runs in the past four outings. He is 2-0 with a 3.70 ERA in four career starts against the Royals.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Bailey rebounded from a pair of poor outings to post an easy 15-3 win over the Detroit Tigers last Saturday. The righty allowed just two runs in six innings of work after surrendering four runs in each of his previous two starts. Bailey owns a 1-4 record with a 3.74 ERA in 11 career starts versus the Phillies – all as a member of the Cincinnati Reds.
Bailey is in for a rough outing against a Phillies offense that comes in with some momentum. Outside of Zach Eflin, Arrieta has been the most consistent Philadelphia starter and should have no trouble with the Royals lineup.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Friday. He is 57-38 +1304 units on the season, has won 7 in a row and 12 of his last 15!
Pick: Phillies -145
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 games following an off day.
Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 games on grass.
Phillies are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.
Phillies are 20-43 in their last 63 interleague road games.
Phillies are 6-16 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Phillies are 2-7 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Phillies are 4-9 in Arrieta’s last 13 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 2-6 in Arrieta’s last 8 road starts.
Phillies are 1-4 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Phillies are 1-4 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 1-5 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Royals are 15-5 in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Royals are 24-49 in their last 73 during game 1 of a series.
Royals are 34-71 in their last 105 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 29-61 in their last 90 games following a loss.
Royals are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Royals are 14-37 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Royals are 3-8 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Royals are 6-17 in their last 23 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games.
Royals are 14-43 in their last 57 vs. a team with a winning record.
Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games.
Royals are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Royals are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 1-10 in their last 11 interleague home games.
Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-0 in Phillies last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-0 in Phillies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games following a win.
Over is 6-2 in Phillies last 8 games following an off day.
Under is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 6-2-1 in Phillies last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 14-5-1 in Phillies last 20 on grass.
Under is 14-5-1 in Phillies last 20 overall.
Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-5-1 in Phillies last 18 interleague games.
Under is 14-6-3 in Phillies last 23 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 11-5 in Phillies last 16 vs. American League Central.
Under is 4-0 in Arrieta’s last 4 interleague starts.
Under is 4-0 in Arrieta’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Arrieta’s last 11 road starts.
Under is 10-4-1 in Arrieta’s last 15 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 9-4 in Arrieta’s last 13 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 14-3 in Royals last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 9-2 in Royals last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 8-2 in Royals last 10 interleague home games.
Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Royals last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 20-6 in Royals last 26 interleague games.
Under is 23-7-1 in Royals last 31 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 on grass.
Over is 9-3-1 in Royals last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 9-3 in Royals last 12 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 15-5-2 in Royals last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 overall.
Over is 20-7-1 in Royals last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 19-7-1 in Royals last 27 home games.
Under is 8-3 in Royals last 11 vs. National League East.
Over is 18-7-1 in Royals last 26 games following a loss.
Over is 20-8 in Royals last 28 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
