Philadelphia (48-36) at Pittsburgh (40-47)
When: Saturday, July 7th 2018
Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Time: 4:05 ET | TV: NBCS Philadelphia,
AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh
Opening Odds: Pittsburgh -129/8
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The Philadelphia Phillies have inched closer to the Atlanta Braves in the National League East by using strong pitching performances during a four-game winning streak, but broke out the bats big time on Friday to earn their fifth consecutive victory – a 17-5 rout of the Pittsburgh Pirates. It tied the longest nine-inning game in National League history at 4 hours, 30 minutes. Philadelphia is now tied atop the East after Atlanta’s loss in Milwaukee. The Phillies banged-out 18 hits to earn their seventh win in their last eight overall and will seek a series victory over their in-state rivals Saturday as Jake Arrieta opposes Jameson Taillon. Pittsburgh has lost four straight as its pitching staff has been lit up, allowing 48 runs – and 12 homers – during the skid. The Phillies have won all five meetings with the Pirates this season, outscoring them 35-10. Pittsburgh second baseman Josh Harrison went 3-for-4 with a double and an RBI on Friday to snap a 1-for-16 slump. Phillies outfielder Odubel Herrera, who homered and drove in four runs on Friday, is 4-for-7 with a homer versus Taillon.
Pitchers: Phillies – Jake Arrieta (5-6, 3.54 ERA) | Pirates – Jameson Taillon (5-6, 4.05)
Arrieta has really struggled after a fast start with his new team this season, going without a victory in his last six outings, recording only one quality start over that stretch. Arrieta was decent in his most recent outing, allowing three runs – two earned – over five innings in a no-decision against Washington. He is 11-6 with a 3.01 ERA in 21 career starts against the Pirates, including a victory on April 19th in which he struck out 10 and allowed one hit over seven scoreless innings.
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Taillon was on the other end of that April 19th contest with Arrieta, allowing five runs in just an inning and two-thirds, falling to 1-1 with a 5.68 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies. Taillon followed up an excellent June (3-2, 2.90 ERA) with a dud in his first July start. He allowed four runs – three earned – over 4.2 innings in a no-decision at San Diego on Sunday.
The Phillies are on a roll right now, while the Pirates are going in the opposite direction. The Phillies have owned their in-state rivals this season and should put another beating on them Saturday despite sending out a struggling Arrieta.
Pick: Phillies +108
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BETTING TRENDS:
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 Saturday games.
- Phillies are 23-9 in their last 32 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 20-8 in their last 28 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 5-11 in their last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 4-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 1-4 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 1-4 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Phillies are 1-5 in Arrieta’s last 6 road starts.
- Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a loss.
- Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Pirates are 6-20 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Pirates are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East.
- Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 Saturday games.
- Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 home games.
- Pirates are 8-2 in Taillon’s last 10 starts vs. National League East.
- Pirates are 8-2 in Taillon’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 21-8 in Taillon’s last 29 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-2 in Taillon’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 10-4 in Taillon’s last 14 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 2-6 in Taillon’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 Saturday games.
- Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 14-6 in Phillies last 20 games following a win.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Arrieta’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Arrieta’s last 7 road starts.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-1-2 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Arrieta’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Arrieta’s last 8 starts overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 19-6-2 in Pirates last 27 Saturday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 37-17-1 in Pirates last 55 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Taillon’s last 5 Saturday starts.
- Under is 6-0 in Taillon’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Taillon’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Taillon’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Taillon’s last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Taillon’s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Taillon’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 6-1-3 in the last 10 meetings.
- Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh.
- Phillies are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in Pittsburgh.
