Philadelphia (7-2) at Atlanta (1-8)
When: Tuesday, April 8th 2025
Where: Truist Park,
Cumberland, GA
Time: 7:15 ET | TV: TBS
Opening Odds: Atlanta -110/7
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Phillies vs Braves Recent Meetings
| Date | Home/Away | H Starter | A Starter | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/1/24 | PHI 3 - ATL 2 x | A. Nola | S. Schwellenbach | -124/8 | U |
| 8/31/24 | PHI 3 - ATL 0 | Z. Wheeler | M. Fried | -166/7.5 | U |
| 8/30/24 | PHI 2 - ATL 7 | R. Suarez | R. Lopez | -136/7.5 | O |
| 8/29/24 | PHI 5 - ATL 4 | C. Sanchez | C. Morton | -161/8 | O |
| 8/22/24 | ATL 3 - PHI 2 | S. Schwellenbach | C. Sanchez | -111/7.5 | U |
| 8/21/24 | ATL 2 - PHI 3 | M. Fried | A. Nola | -102/8 | U |
| 8/20/24 | ATL 3 - PHI 1 | R. Lopez | Z. Wheeler | 138/8 | U |
| 7/7/24 | ATL 6 - PHI 0 | R. Lopez | M. Mercado | -155/8 | U |
| 7/6/24 | ATL 5 - PHI 1 | S. Schwellenbach | R. Suarez | -119/8 | U |
| 7/5/24 | ATL 6 - PHI 8 | M. Fried | A. Nola | -133/7.5 | O |
| 3/31/24 | PHI 5 - ATL 4 | R. Suarez | C. Sale | 130/8 | O |
| 3/30/24 | PHI 4 - ATL 12 | A. Nola | M. Fried | 118/8 | O |
| 3/29/24 | PHI 3 - ATL 9 | Z. Wheeler | S. Strider | 122/7 | O |
| 2023 Season | |||||
| 10/12/23 | PHI 3 - ATL 1 | R. Suarez | S. Strider | 136/8.5 | U |
| 10/11/23 | PHI 10 - ATL 2 | A. Nola | B. Elder | -119/9 | O |
| 10/9/23 | ATL 5 - PHI 4 | M. Fried | Z. Wheeler | -152/8 | O |
| 10/7/23 | ATL 0 - PHI 3 | S. Strider | R. Suarez | -201/8.5 | U |
| 9/20/23 | ATL 5 - PHI 6 x | B. Elder | A. Nola | -140/9.5 | O |
| 9/19/23 | ATL 9 - PHI 3 | S. Strider | C. Sanchez | -140/9.5 | O |
| 9/18/23 | ATL 1 - PHI 7 | K. Wright | Z. Wheeler | 101/9.5 | U |
Philadelphia Phillies L10 Games
| Date | vs/Score | Line | ATS | OPS | Avg | Starter | IP | Opp Starter | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/6/25 | LAD 8-7 | 108/7 | W/O | .770 | .207 | C. Sanchez | 5.2 | T. Glasnow | 2.0 |
| 4/5/25 | LAD 1-3 | -106/8 | L/U | .357 | .138 | A. Nola | 6.0 | R. Sasaki | 4.0 |
| 4/4/25 | LAD 3-2 | 116/8 | W/U | .572 | .185 | J. Luzardo | 7.0 | Y. Yamamoto | 6.0 |
| 4/3/25 | COL 3-1 | -209/10 | W/U | .860 | .333 | T. Walker | 6.0 | A. Senzatela | 5.1 |
| 4/2/25 | COL 5-1 | -299/7 | W/U | .797 | .333 | Z. Wheeler | 7.0 | K. Freeland | 6.2 |
| 3/31/25 | COL 6-1 | -308/9 | W/U | 1.080 | .333 | C. Sanchez | 5.1 | G. Marquez | 6.0 |
| 3/30/25 | @ WAS 1-5 | -131/9 | L/U | .585 | .242 | A. Nola | 5.1 | M. Parker | 6.1 |
| 3/29/25 | @ WAS 11-6 | -147/9 | W/O | 1.109 | .359 | J. Luzardo | 5.0 | J. Irvin | 5.0 |
| 3/27/25 | @ WAS 7-3 x | -145/7.5 | W/O | .812 | .216 | Z. Wheeler | 6.0 | M. Gore | 6.0 |
| 10/9/24 | @ NYM 1-4 | 107/8 | L/U | .464 | .129 | R. Suarez | 4.1 | J. Quintana | 5.0 |
Atlanta Braves L10 Games
| Date | vs/Score | Line | ATS | OPS | Avg | Starter | IP | Opp Starter | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/5/25 | MIA 0-4 | -243/8.5 | L/U | .608 | .219 | A. Smith-Shawver | 4.2 | C. Quantrill | 5.0 |
| 4/4/25 | MIA 10-0 | -232/7.5 | W/O | 1.055 | .400 | S. Schwellenbach | 8.0 | M. Meyer | 6.0 |
| 4/2/25 | @ LAD 5-6 | 193/8 | L/O | .623 | .222 | B. Elder | 4.0 | B. Snell | 4.0 |
| 4/1/25 | @ LAD 1-3 | 110/7.5 | L/U | .350 | .103 | C. Sale | 5.0 | D. May | 5.0 |
| 3/31/25 | @ LAD 1-6 | 193/8 | L/U | .454 | .129 | G. Holmes | 4.0 | T. Glasnow | 5.0 |
| 3/30/25 | @ SD 0-5 | 116/8 | L/U | .113 | .038 | A. Smith-Shawver | 4.0 | N. Pivetta | 7.0 |
| 3/29/25 | @ SD 0-1 | -146/8 | L/U | .501 | .172 | S. Schwellenbach | 6.0 | R. Vasquez | 6.0 |
| 3/28/25 | @ SD 3-4 | 124/7 | L/P | .531 | .156 | R. Lopez | 5.0 | D. Cease | 4.1 |
| 3/27/25 | @ SD 4-7 | -116/7 | L/O | .689 | .200 | C. Sale | 5.0 | M. King | 2.2 |
| 10/2/24 | @ SD 4-5 | 103/7 | L/O | .612 | .182 | M. Fried | 2.0 | J. Musgrove | 3.2 |
Prediction
I have to take the hotter team in this one. The Phillies have won each of their first three series and Wheeler is off to a great start in search of his first Cy Young award. Wheeler also has solid numbers against Atlanta. In three starts against them last season, Wheeler allowed just two earned runs over 19 innings with 20 strikeouts and zero walks. The Braves are dead last or near that in almost every offensive category so far. Sale is not off to a great start and the Phillies should be able to get to him.
Pick: Phillies +104
