Philadelphia (38-30) at Atlanta (40-29)
When: Friday, June 14th, 2019
Where: SunTrust Park,
Cumberland, GA
Time: 7:20 ET | TV: Facebook Watch
Opening Odds: Atlanta -127/9.5
First place in the National League East is on the line this weekend outside Atlanta, Georgia as the Braves play the Philadelphia Phillies for the first time since the end of March. Atlanta has used a seven-game winning streak to seize control of the division by 1.5 games over Philadelphia, who has lost eight of their last 13. The Braves took care of the Pittsburgh Pirates this week, sweeping them in four games and just can’t stop hitting. Atlanta has averaged seven runs per game while collecting 10 hits or more in six of those contests. Second baseman Ozzie Albies has three dingers, seven RBI, and eight runs scored during the winning streak while going 11-for-26. Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit safely in 14 of his last 16 games after recording two more hits in Atlanta’s 6-5 victory over the Pirates on Thursday. The Phillies were off Thursday, giving right fielder Bryce Harper two-days rest after sitting out in Wednesday’s 2-0 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks, but he did come up late in the game as a pinch-hitter. Harper, who homered twice in the opening series against the Braves, is batting .298 with four homers, nine doubles and 19 RBIs in his past 24 games. The Phillies hammered the Braves back in the opening series of the season, outscoring them 23-11 in the three-game sweep in Philadelphia. The Phils will play the next 26 games against NL East competition, while Atlanta plays 18 of its next 22 versus the division.
Pitchers: Phillies – Nick Pivetta (4-1, 4.93 ERA) | Braves – Max Fried (7-3, 3.75)
Nick Pivetta was sent down to the minors in the middle of April after struggling mightily, but has returned with a vengeance, especially the last two games. After surrendering three runs on three hits – two homers – in five innings versus St. Louis on May 28th, Pivetta has allowed just one run total in the last two. He pitched his first career complete game Saturday against Cincinnati, giving up one run on six hits with no walks and six strikeouts. Pivetta allowed four runs on eight hits across 4.2 innings against Atlanta in his season debut March 30th.
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Max Fried has not been sharp recently, allowing 12 runs and 24 hits over his last three starts covering 15.2 innings, but Atlanta won two of those contests. In his last start against Miami, Fried gave up three runs on six hits with one walk and seven strikeouts over six innings in what was the best of his last three outings. He made two scoreless relief appearances against Philadelphia in the season’s opening series while walking two in 1.2 innings.
The Braves are the hotter team, but Philadelphia has the hotter pitcher going in the series opener. Pivetta has been sharp since returning from the minors and the day off should benefit the Phillies offense entering this big weekend series.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Friday. He is 79-49 +2253 units on the season after a 29-11 run!
Pick: Phillies +125
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BETTING TRENDS:
Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 20-8 in their last 28 games following an off day.
Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 Friday games.
Phillies are 31-71 in their last 102 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 4-1 in Pivetta’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Phillies are 7-2 in Pivetta’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
Phillies are 11-4 in Pivetta’s last 15 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 5-2 in Pivetta’s last 7 starts.
Phillies are 5-2 in Pivetta’s last 7 starts on grass.
Phillies are 9-4 in Pivetta’s last 13 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 2-5 in Pivetta’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Phillies are 2-6 in Pivetta’s last 8 starts vs. National League East.
Phillies are 1-5 in Pivetta’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 0-5 in Pivetta’s last 5 road starts.
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 Friday games.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. National League East.
Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Braves are 23-8 in their last 31 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 4-0 in Fried’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 5-0 in Fried’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Braves are 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts.
Braves are 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts on grass.
Braves are 4-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-2 in Fried’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 2-5 in Fried’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games following an off day.
Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games following a loss.
Under is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 Friday games.
Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-2-1 in Phillies last 11 vs. National League East.
Under is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 17-6 in Phillies last 23 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Phillies last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-3-1 in Phillies last 11 road games.
Under is 11-5-1 in Phillies last 17 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-0 in Pivetta’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Pivetta’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 5-0 in Pivetta’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Pivetta’s last 6 Friday starts.
Under is 5-1-1 in Pivetta’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Pivetta’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-3 in Pivetta’s last 10 starts on grass.
Under is 7-3-1 in Pivetta’s last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Pivetta’s last 10 starts overall.
Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games following a win.
Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 on grass.
Over is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-2-1 in Braves last 10 vs. National League East.
Over is 18-7-3 in Braves last 28 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 Friday games.
Over is 20-8 in Braves last 28 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 4-0-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 6-0-1 in Fried’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 4-0-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts overall.
Over is 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Fried’s last 6 home starts.
Over is 4-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 5-2 in Fried’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Phillies are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Phillies are 4-1 in Pivetta’s last 5 road starts vs. Braves.
Phillies are 7-2 in Pivetta’s last 9 starts vs. Braves.
Phillies are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
