Penguins vs Senators Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [Game 6]

By
Jay Cooper
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Pittsburgh (3-2) at Ottawa (2-3)
When: Tuesday, May 23rd 2017
Where: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, Ontario
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: NBC Sports Network

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The Pittsburgh Penguins are sixty minutes away from playing in their second consecutive Stanley Cup Final and will try and close out the Ottawa Senators on the road Tuesday night. To say the Penguins have the momentum coming into Game 6 would be an understatement. They completely humiliated the Senators in Game 5 on Sunday to the tune of 7-0. Sidney Crosby scored for a third consecutive game as part of a four-goal first period in which the Penguins twice chased goalie Craig Anderson. Bryan Rust had a goal and assist in his return from a concussion and Olli Maatta and Scott Wilson also beat Anderson in the fist period onslaught. Matt Murray stopped 21 shots to win his second straight start following a six-week injury layoff. Evgeni Malkin (NHL-best 17 assists, 23 points) recorded three assists to push his career playoff total to 98, moving him past team owner Mario Lemieux (96) for second on the franchise’s all-time list. While everyone is focused on the stars Malkin, Crosby and Phil Kessel, Pittsburgh’s third line of Rust (goal, assist), Nick Bonino (two assists) and Carter Rowney (three assists) combined for seven points in Game 5. Maatta opened the scoring for the second consecutive game on Sunday to increase his point total to seven (two goals, five assists), matching his regular season total in 38 fewer games played.

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Anderson was pulled briefly after the Penguins went up 3-0 in the first and removed for good to start the second period. He stopped just 10 of 14 shots on what was his 36th birthday. Coach Guy Boucher quickly shot down any rumors that Ottawa would go with backup Mike Condon in Game 6. Boucher is still playing the underdog card heavily – maybe to ignite a fire under his team perhaps. “We know they’re a better team. Everybody knows that on the planet,” said Boucher. Captain Erik Karlsson (team-leading 13 assists, 15 points), who is playing with two hairline fractures in his left heel, is expected to be back in the lineup after receiving a bit of a breather with Sunday’s game well out of hand and rested the entire third period. Boucher also rested fellow defenseman Cody Ceci and forward Derick Brassard in the final period. Ottawa is 0-5 when trailing a best-of-seven series by a 3-2 margin, and it has only forced a Game 7 on two occasions. The Senators were in a similar situation in 2013, allowing seven goals to the Penguins in a lopsided playoff loss and were summarily bounced in the ensuing game (6-2) to be eliminated from that Eastern Conference semifinal series.

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Boucher is right – the Penguins are a better team. The Senators just don’t have enough offense to keep up with Pittsburgh. Look for the Penguins to end this series and play the Nashville Predators in the Stanley Cup Finals.

Pick: Penguins -150

W/L TRENDS

Pittsburgh
  • Penguins are 15-5 in their last 20 Tuesday games.
  • Penguins are 5-2 in their last 7 Conference Finals games.
  • Penguins are 59-24 in their last 83 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Penguins are 71-33 in their last 104 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Penguins are 55-26 in their last 81 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 21-10 in their last 31 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
  • Penguins are 1-8 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Ottawa
  • Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
  • Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
  • Senators are 11-5 in their last 16 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Senators are 20-46 in their last 66 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Pittsburgh
  • Under is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 Tuesday games.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Penguins last 5 road games.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Penguins last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 45-20-7 in Penguins last 72 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 20-9 in Penguins last 29 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 32-15-5 in Penguins last 52 vs. Atlantic.
  • Over is 31-15-5 in Penguins last 51 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Ottawa
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Senators last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Senators last 4 home games.
  • Under is 6-1-1 in Senators last 8 Tuesday games.
  • Over is 5-1-3 in Senators last 9 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1-4 in Senators last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 10-3-1 in Senators last 14 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 19-6-2 in Senators last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Over is 5-2-3 in Senators last 10 overall.
  • Over is 5-2-3 in Senators last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Senators last 8 Conference Finals games.
  • Under is 62-30-5 in Senators last 97 vs. Metropolitan.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Home team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
  • Penguins are 17-8 in the last 25 meetings.

Trends courtesy of SportsOptions.com – an UltimateCapper.com partner

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