Penguins vs Capitals Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [Game 7]

By
Jay Cooper
-

Pittsburgh (3-3) at Washington (3-3)
When: Wednesday, May 10th 2017
Where: Verizon Center, Washington, DC
Time: 7:35 ET | TV: NBC Sports Network

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The Washington Capitals look to complete an improbable comeback when they host Game 7 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series with the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Capitals, who have dominated the shots on goal category the entire series, were down three games to one before finally solving Pittsburgh goalie Marc-Andre Fleury. Washington has outscored the Penguins 9-4 en route to consecutive victories, setting up the winner-take-all Game 7. Pittsburgh owns a perfect 5-0 record on the road in its previous Game 7 clashes including 2-0 in Washington. Pittsburgh beat the Capitals 6-2 in the conference semifinal series in 2009, spurring the club on to its third of four Stanley Cup titles. Evgeni Malkin scored a goal in Monday’s game to extend his point streak to five games (three goals, four assists) while increasing his playoff total to a league-best 18 points (five goals, 13 assists). Fellow forward Jake Guentzel extended his franchise record for goals by a rookie in a single postseason with his league-leading ninth in Game 6 and also tied Jaromir Jagr (1991) for most points (13) by a Penguins rookie in a single postseason. Left-winger Carl Hagelin sports a 7-1 mark in eight career Game 7s while center Matt Cullen is 5-0.

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The Capitals also have a player who excels in these situations and he’s been nicknamed “Mr. Game 7.” Justin Williams has recorded seven goals and as many assists, and owns a perfect 7-0 mark in Game 7s in his career. While the Penguins’ 8-7 all-time mark in Game 7s trumps the Capitals (4-10) mark, Washington owns a 2-1 mark in a series in which it has rallied from a 3-1 deficit. Andre Burakovsky collected his second straight multi-point performance with a pair of goals in the 5-2 Game 6 victory. Nicklas Backstrom recorded his third multi-point effort of the series with a goal and an assist and has a team-leading 13 points (six goals, seven assists) in these playoffs and 24 points in as many playoff games over the past two seasons. Center Evgeny Kuznetsov recorded a pair of assists in Game 6 to increase his point total to six (three goals, three assists) during his four-game point streak. Goalie Braden Holtby has lowered his goals against average (2.07) over the last two victories, but his save percentage has gone down to .925 as the Penguins are averaging just 19 shots a game over the last three.

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Washington has the momentum right now, but they’re also 0-2 at home against the Penguins in Game 7s. Look for Pittsburgh to start getting more shots on goal and for Fleury to bounce back from a couple of poor outings. I’ll take the big underdog here.

Pick: Penguins +160

W/L TRENDS

Pittsburgh
  • Penguins are 38-13 in their last 51 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
  • Penguins are 37-14 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals.
  • Penguins are 55-23 in their last 78 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Penguins are 45-19 in their last 64 vs. Metropolitan.
  • Penguins are 67-31 in their last 98 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Penguins are 45-21 in their last 66 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 39-19 in their last 58 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Washington
  • Capitals are 6-1 in their last 7 Wednesday games.
  • Capitals are 41-12 in their last 53 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Capitals are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. Metropolitan.
  • Capitals are 62-22 in their last 84 home games.
  • Capitals are 23-9 in their last 32 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Capitals are 51-20 in their last 71 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Capitals are 37-15 in their last 52 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Capitals are 42-18 in their last 60 overall.
  • Capitals are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Capitals are 41-18 in their last 59 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Capitals are 36-16 in their last 52 games following a win.
  • Capitals are 55-25 in their last 80 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Capitals are 39-18 in their last 57 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Pittsburgh
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Penguins last 4 Wednesday games.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Penguins last 4 following a loss of 3 or more goals.
  • Over is 4-1 in Penguins last 5 road games.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Penguins last 6 following a home loss of 3 or more goals.
  • Over is 16-5-1 in Penguins last 22 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 5-2 in Penguins last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Penguins last 7 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Washington
  • Under is 8-2 in Capitals last 10 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-2 in Capitals last 10 games following a win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Capitals last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-2-2 in Capitals last 11 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 10-3-3 in Capitals last 16 vs. Metropolitan.
  • Over is 5-2-2 in Capitals last 9 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-3 in Capitals last 10 home games.
  • Under is 14-6-6 in Capitals last 26 Conference Semifinals games.
  • Under is 16-7-2 in Capitals last 25 vs. Eastern Conference.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
  • Home team is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings.

Trends courtesy of SportsOptions.com – an UltimateCapper.com partner

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