Patriots vs Saints Preview and Pick

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Superbook.com Online Sports Book

New England Patriots (7-3) at New Orleans Saints (10-0)
When: Monday, November 30th, 2009
Where: Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Time: 7:35 CT
TV: ESPN
Opening Line: New Orleans -3

Patriots Last 3 Games Saints Last 3 Games
W 31-14 vs NY Jets W 38-7 @ Tampa Bay
L 35-34 @ Indianapolis W 28-23 @ St Louis
W 27-17 vs Miami W 30-20 vs Carolina

Recent Meetings
11/20/05 – New Orleans 17, New England 24
11/25/01 – New Orleans 37, New Enlgand 27

In what is probably the most anticipated Monday Night Football game in years, the New England Patriots will travel to New Orleans and try to hand the Saints their first loss of the season. Tom Brady and Drew Brees are both having fantastic seasons. Both have a QB rating over 100 and are trying to lead their teams to the Super Bowl. We all know about how these offenses can score at will, so let’s take a look at the defensive side of the ball. We’ll give the offensive edge to the Saints.

Points Allowed: Pats 2nd in NFL, Saints 15th
Yards Allowed: Pats 6th, Saints 15th
Passing Yards Allowed: Pats 6th, Saints 15th

As you can see the Patriots have the edge on defense. The only thing that hurts New England is that only 4 teams in the NFL have fewer sacks than they do. If they can’t get some pressure on Brees, it’s over. I’m not worried about Brady dealing with the loud Superdome crowd, but I do give the edge to the Saints overall, because their passing attack is almost unstoppable at home. I believe the Saints will come out strong and take a 2 or 3 touchdown lead, then let the Patriots back in it only to hold them off at the end.

Pick: Saints -1.5

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