Padres vs Pirates Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/21/19]

San Diego (38-37) at Pittsburgh (33-40)
When: Friday, June 21st, 2019
Where: PNC Park,
Pittsburgh, PA
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: FS San Diego,
AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh
Opening Odds: Pittsburgh -110/9.5


The San Diego Padres are in a stretch of 11 games away from home over 14 contests, but are playing themselves right back in the thick of a crowded NL Wild Card race. San Diego begins a five-game road trek against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday just two games back of Milwaukee after sweeping the Brewers at home earlier this week. The Padres held Milwaukee to one run in taking the first two then outslugged the Beweers 8-7 on Wednesday to complete the sweep. Franmil Reyes smacked a go-ahead three-run homer in the seventh inning in that Wednesday contest to help get his team back over the .500 mark for the first time since the middle of April. The Padres struggled to contain Pittsburgh’s offense last month, giving up 21 runs and losing three of four at home to the Pirates. However, Pittsburgh has been in a tailspin since, losing 20 of 28 before erasing a six-run deficit on Wednesday to defeat the Detroit Tigers 8-7. The Pirates might be sellers by the trade deadline, as they are six games out of a playoff spot and have four teams between them and San Diego entering Friday’s action.

Pitchers: Padres – Eric Lauer (5-6, 4.60 ERA) | Pirates – Joe Musgrove (4-7, 4.87)

The Padres won four in a row during Eric Lauer’s starts before he got roughed up in the last two including that record-breaking series at Coors Field last weekend. The lefty gave up four runs – three earned – in losing at Washington on June 8th then was tagged for five runs on 10 hits in a season-low 2.2 innings at Colorado. He threw a season-high 105 pitches in a no-decision May 16th against the Pirates after allowing two runs in 5.2 innings.

The Pirates took 3 of 4 in San Diego earlier this season.


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Joe Musgrove will finally get to see a different opponent after his last three outings have all come against the Atlanta Braves. That is mostly due in part to getting ejected in the first inning of his start on June 10th before coming back three days later and allowing six runs on nine hits over four-plus innings. He earned the win against Atlanta on June 5th with eight innings of three-run ball, but was knocked around in the two starts prior to that. The Pirates are 2-0 against San Diego when Musgrove starts including a 6-4 victory at Petco Park on May 19th when he allowed four runs – three earned – over 6.1 innings.

This should be a pretty competitive series, but I lean Padres here because they’ve played much better recently than the Pirates. Pittsburgh has dropped nine of their last 12 and are slowly eliminating themselves from contention. Look for the Padres to knock around Musgrove.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Friday. He is 80-54 +1758 units on the season after a 30-16 run!

Pick: Padres +105


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BETTING TRENDS:

Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Padres are 14-5 in their last 19 games following an off day.
Padres are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
Padres are 4-10 in their last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Padres are 4-0 in Lauer’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Padres are 4-1 in Lauer’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Padres are 8-2 in Lauer’s last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
Padres are 2-5 in Lauer’s last 7 Friday starts.
Padres are 2-6 in Lauer’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 1-4 in Lauer’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Padres are 0-4 in Lauer’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Pirates are 16-35 in their last 51 vs. National League West.
Pirates are 5-11 in their last 16 home games.
Pirates are 7-20 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 3-9 in their last 12 overall.
Pirates are 3-9 in their last 12 games on grass.
Pirates are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 2-7 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Pirates are 2-10 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.
Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 games following a win.
Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 2-5 in Musgrove’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 3-8 in Musgrove’s last 11 starts vs. National League West.
Pirates are 3-8 in Musgrove’s last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 2-6 in Musgrove’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 2-8 in Musgrove’s last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Pirates are 1-4 in Musgrove’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 1-4 in Musgrove’s last 5 home starts.
Pirates are 1-4 in Musgrove’s last 5 starts.
Pirates are 1-4 in Musgrove’s last 5 starts on grass.
Pirates are 2-8 in Musgrove’s last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 0-5 in Musgrove’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.

Over is 5-0-2 in Padres last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0-2 in Padres last 6 Friday games.
Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 8-2-2 in Padres last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Padres last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 18-6-2 in Padres last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-2-1 in Padres last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 11-4-1 in Padres last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Padres last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Padres last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Padres last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Lauer’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-0-2 in Lauer’s last 7 road starts.
Over is 3-0-1 in Lauer’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Lauer’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Lauer’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 4-1 in Lauer’s last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Over is 6-2-1 in Lauer’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Lauer’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League West.
Over is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 21-5-2 in Pirates last 28 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Pirates last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 14-4-2 in Pirates last 20 games following a win.
Over is 16-5 in Pirates last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 19-6-2 in Pirates last 27 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 games following an off day.
Over is 18-6-2 in Pirates last 26 Friday games.
Over is 15-5-1 in Pirates last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 19-7-1 in Pirates last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 36-14-2 in Pirates last 52 overall.
Over is 36-14-2 in Pirates last 52 on grass.
Over is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 home games.
Over is 34-16-2 in Pirates last 52 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 6-0 in Musgrove’s last 6 starts on grass.
Over is 6-0 in Musgrove’s last 6 starts overall.
Over is 4-0 in Musgrove’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Musgrove’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0 in Musgrove’s last 5 home starts.
Over is 4-0 in Musgrove’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Musgrove’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 10-1 in Musgrove’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Musgrove’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 13-3 in Musgrove’s last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Musgrove’s last 5 Friday starts.
Over is 15-5-1 in Musgrove’s last 21 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

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