San Diego (47-52) at NY Mets (45-54)
When: Tuesday, July 23rd, 2019
Where: Citi Field,
New York, NY
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: SNY,
FS San Diego
Opening Odds: San Diego -122/8
Everyone in the National League except the Miami Marlins are within striking distance of a wild card spot, but the San Diego Padres and New York Mets are slowly fading away. The two teams will look to make their move back up the standings when they face each other at Citi Field Tuesday night in the opener of a three-game series. The Padres avoided a three-game sweep with a 5-1 victory at the Chicago Cubs on Sunday and are just 2-9 since the All-Star Break. Hitting stars Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis, Jr. are doing their best to keep the offense going, as the team isn’t getting much from anyone else. Tatis has two homers and six RBI during a four-game hitting streak, while Machado has five homers and eight RBI in nine games since the break. The Mets began a nine-game road trip by going 4-1 to start, but dropped three of four over the weekend to the surging San Francisco Giants, with each of the losses coming by one run in extra innings. Outfielder Michael Conforto has hit safely in seven of his last eight games, but 1B Pete Alonso is mired in a 4-for-34 slump since winning the Home Run Derby. The Padres took two of three from the Mets at home back in early May.
Pitchers: Padres – Chris Paddack (6-4, 2.70 ERA) | Mets – Jason Vargas (4-5, 4.25)
The Padres are really treating Chris Paddack carefully, as he appears to be the ace of the future. The rookie right-hander has averaged about 90-95 pitches per outing and his starts are being spread out. He’s made four starts since June 22nd and has been extremely effective, allowing four runs total and just 11 hits in that span covering 24.1 innings. Paddack took a no-hitter into the eighth inning and allowing only a solo home run to beat Miami and extend his unbeaten streak to five starts last time out. He struck out 11 Mets in 7.2 scoreless innings back on May 6th.
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Jason Vargas bounced back from a poor outing at Miami (six runs, five innings) to limit the Twins to three runs runs and five hits over six innings. The long ball has been a big problem for Vargas lately after allowing at least one in each of his last six starts – eight total. He allowed two home runs at San Diego on April 28th, 2018 en route to surrendering nine runs over 3.2 innings.
Paddack has been really tough to even get base hits off of lately and he’s already tamed the Mets in his only previous outing against them. The Padres aren’t playing well, but they should be able to get enough off Vargas to pull out a victory.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 97-65 +2158 units on the season after an 11-4 run!
Pick: Padres -125
Tuesday’s Free Sports Picks – Bobby on 11-4 MLB Run!
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BETTING TRENDS:
Padres are 17-39 in their last 56 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Padres are 15-42 in their last 57 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Padres are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.
Padres are 2-7 in their last 9 games on grass.
Padres are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
Padres are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. National League East.
Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Padres are 4-1 in Paddack’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Mets are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a loss.
Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 games following an off day.
Mets are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 6-18 in their last 24 during game 1 of a series.
Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Mets are 1-9 in their last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Mets are 4-0 in Vargas’ last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets are 4-0 in Vargas’ last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Mets are 4-0 in Vargas’ last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 5-1 in Vargas’ last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets are 6-2 in Vargas’ last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Mets are 3-7 in Vargas’ last 10 Tuesday starts.
Mets are 1-6 in Vargas’ last 7 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 on grass.
Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games following a win.
Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 7-0 in Padres last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 9-1-2 in Padres last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 12-3-2 in Padres last 17 Tuesday games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 games following an off day.
Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-2-3 in Padres last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Padres last 9 vs. National League East.
Under is 6-2-1 in Padres last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in Paddack’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 5-1 in Paddack’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-1-1 in Paddack’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Paddack’s last 5 road starts.
Over is 3-1-1 in Paddack’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Paddack’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-4-1 in Paddack’s last 14 starts on grass.
Under is 9-4-1 in Paddack’s last 14 starts overall.
Over is 6-1 in Mets last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League West.
Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 18-5-4 in Mets last 27 games following an off day.
Over is 10-3-2 in Mets last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 13-4-4 in Mets last 21 games following a loss.
Under is 6-2-2 in Mets last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2-2 in Mets last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 10-4-2 in Mets last 16 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 14-6-2 in Mets last 22 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 46-21-6 in Mets last 73 Tuesday games.
Under is 6-0-1 in Vargas’ last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 12-0-1 in Vargas’ last 13 home starts.
Under is 10-2-4 in Vargas’ last 16 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Vargas’ last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-3-3 in Vargas’ last 14 starts on grass.
Under is 8-3-1 in Vargas’ last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 8-3-3 in Vargas’ last 14 starts overall.
Under is 5-2-2 in Vargas’ last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
