San Diego (46-51) at Chicago Cubs (53-44)
When: Saturday, July 20th, 2019
Where: Wrigley Field,
Chicago, Illinois
Time: 2:20 ET | TV: ABC 7,
FS San Diego
Opening Odds: Chicago -139
The San Diego Padres have played the good teams tough this season, going 25-18 against clubs over .500, but couldn’t make an early lead stand up on Friday, as they dropped the series opener at Wrigley Field 6-5 to the Chicago Cubs. The Padres got out to a 3-0 lead before starting Eric Lauer’s only bad inning was capped off by an Anthony Rizzo grand slam. I had the Padres as one of our top plays on Friday at +137 and they will be slight dogs again in Saturday’s contest with Joey Lucchesi facing fellow lefty Jose Quintana. The Cubs dropped eight of their final 12 games to end the first half, but have blasted out of the break by going 6-1 and are slowly opening up their lead in the crowded NL Central. The Padres are going in the opposite direction, dropping six of seven since beating the Dodgers in L.A. three straight times prior to the All-Star Break. Rizzo’s slam gave the first baseman a hit in 10 straight games, going 17-for-35 with nine RBI during that span, while Javier Baez smacked his team-leading 23rd homer. Manny Machado gave San Diego and early 3-0 lead with his 24th homer, while Eric Hosmer extended his hitting streak to five games with a pair of singles.
Pitchers: Padres – Joey Lucchesi (7-4, 3.92 ERA) | Cubs – Jose Quintana (7-7, 4.21)
Lucchesi has been pretty reliable for San Diego this season, but does have his struggles on the road. He is unbeaten in his last five outings with a 3.45 ERA, but is 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA in seven road starts. Lucchesi limited the Atlanta Braves to two runs over five innings last Saturday but the Padres lost that contest 7-5. He has one career outing against the Cubs, allowing three runs (two earned) over 5.2 innings in a no-decision last season.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Quintana has been on a bit of a roll lately, winning his last three starts, allowing six runs combined over 19 innings, after failing to record a victory in his previous nine outings. His last two starts came against Pittsburgh and he allowed three runs on six hits and two walks across six innings in the latest one last Sunday. Quintana is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA in two career starts versus San Diego.
I really thought the Padres could steal the opener yesterday, but their struggles continued. Lucchesi has been pretty bad on the road and the Cubs have a lot of momentum right now. I’ll take the hot Quintana and Chicago in this one.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 95-64 +2083 units on the season after an 9-3 run!
Pick: Cubs -120
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 Saturday games.
Padres are 15-41 in their last 56 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.
Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Padres are 4-1 in Lucchesi’s last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Padres are 1-4 in Lucchesi’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 1-5 in Lucchesi’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 53-18 in their last 71 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 68-31 in their last 99 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cubs are 32-15 in their last 47 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cubs are 35-17 in their last 52 home games.
Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cubs are 11-4 in Quintana’s last 15 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 5-2 in Quintana’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cubs are 22-10 in Quintana’s last 32 home starts.
Cubs are 1-4 in Quintana’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 8-1 in Padres last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-1 in Padres last 8 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-2 in Padres last 11 overall.
Under is 9-2 in Padres last 11 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2-1 in Padres last 9 Saturday games.
Under is 5-2 in Padres last 7 games following a loss.
Over is 3-1-1 in Lucchesi’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Lucchesi’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games.
Under is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-3-1 in Cubs last 12 games following a win.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-0 in Quintana’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 5-1 in Quintana’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 17-7 in Quintana’s last 24 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Quintana’s last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 9-4-1 in Quintana’s last 14 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
Padres are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.
