Green Bay (3-1) at Dallas (2-2)
When: Sunday, October 8th 2017
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Time: 4:25 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Dallas -2/52.5
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For the fifth time since the 2015 postseason, the Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys will matchup against each other when they meet on Sunday afternoon at AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys manhandled the Packers at Lambeau last October, but Green Bay got the ultimate revenge in January by ousting Dallas in Arlington in a playoff game. Dallas followed-up a Monday night victory at Arizona with a bad loss last Sunday against the Rams – a game in which they were up 11 points in the second half. Green Bay will look to slow down Ezekiel Elliott, who rambled for 282 yards in the two meetings last season. The Packers are coming off back-to-back wins and will have had 10 days to prepare for this matchup on Sunday. Green Bay has covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings with the Cowboys.
Green Bay could use the extra few days between games, because they lost running backs Ty Montgomery (broken ribs) and Jamaal Williams (knee) along with wide receiver Davante Adams (concussion) to injuries against the Bears. Montgomery practiced with chest protection while Adams is in the league’s concussion protocol, but Aaron Rodgers was able to overcome their absences by throwing for four touchdowns as the Packers improved to 3-0 at home. Despite a quadriceps injury that knocked him out of a Week 2 loss at Atlanta, wideout Jordy Nelson has five touchdowns and 17 receptions in his three other games. Green Bay ranks fifth in the league against the pass at 188.5 yards per game, but 19th against the run (111.0). The Packers have another tough road game next week at division rival Minnesota.
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Elliott led the NFL with 1,631 yards rushing in 2016, helping Dallas rank No. 2 in the league (149.8), but the ground game has taken a back seat to the passing attack in production despite Elliott receiving at least 20 carries in three of the four games. Prescott has thrown eight touchdown passes, including three in last week’s loss, but his three interceptions are one shy of his total from all of last year. Star wide receiver Dez Bryant is off to a slow start with a pair of two-catch games, although he had five receptions for a season-high 98 yards against the Rams last Sunday. Dallas ranks 20th against the pass (231.8 yards) but defensive end Demarcus Lawrence has been tremendous with a league-best 7.5 sacks. This is the Cowboys’ last game before entering their bye.
SUNDAY’S NFL FREE PICKS AGAINST THE SPREAD
I really like Dallas in this one. Green Bay is really beat-up physically and I think they’re going to have a hard time stopping Elliott. Rodgers will keep them in it for a while, but Dallas will wear the Packers down in the second half.
Pick: Cowboys -2.5
- Packers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 5.
- Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.
- Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
- Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
- Packers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games in October.
- Packers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Packers are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Cowboys are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
- Cowboys are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
- Cowboys are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Cowboys are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 5.
- Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Packers last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 9-1 in Packers last 10 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 9-1 in Packers last 10 vs. NFC.
- Over is 7-1 in Packers last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 6-1 in Packers last 7 games in October.
- Over is 14-3 in Packers last 17 games overall.
- Over is 13-3 in Packers last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Under is 5-2 in Packers last 7 games in Week 5.
- Under is 6-0 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 14-5 in Cowboys last 19 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 7-3 in Cowboys last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-6 in Cowboys last 19 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Dallas.
- Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Dallas.
