Green Bay (6-0) at Denver (6-0)
When: Sunday, November 1st 2015
Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, CO
Time: 8:30 ET | TV: NBC
For just the fourth time in NFL history, two 6-0 teams will meet on the field when the Broncos host the Packers on Sunday Night Football. Green Bay does it with offense and Denver has been shining on defense. The Packers are 5th in the NFL scoring 27.3 points a game while being led by QB Aaron Rodgers, who has 15 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Starting running back Eddie Lacy was limited to 4 carries for 3 yards in Green Bay’s last game versus the Chargers, with backup James Starks receiving the bulk of the workload. Starks has been hampered by an ailing hip this week and coach Mike McCarthy hinted that Lacy will be the primary back tonight. Starks has 286 yards to Lacy’s 260, but Starks has a better average per carry at 4.5 to 3.9. Wide receiver James Jones has picked up the slack left when Jordy Nelson was lost for the season. Jones has 21 catches, 424 yards, and 6 touchdowns. The Packers have an underrated defense allowing an NFL best 16.8 points a game. They are prone to the run ranking 22nd giving up 118 yards a game.
If you look at Peyton Manning’s stats this year, you would think the Broncos would be 3-3 at best. For the first time since his rookie season in 1998-99, he has more interceptions than touchdowns. His 72.5 QB rating is something the Broncos should be worrying about. He’s not the same and over the last few seasons, he’s show regression as the season progresses. The reason why the Broncos are 6-0 is because of their defense. They’re ranked number 1 in total defense and passing defense and #4 against the run. They’ll have their hands full tonight with Rodgers. The Broncos have scored a defensive touchdown in four of the last six games, including a 26-23 overtime victory at Cleveland on October 18th. The Denver rushing attack is pretty poor right now ranking 31st with only 85 yards a game. Ronnie Hillman leads the team with 323 yards while starter C.J. Anderson is only averaging 2.7 yards a carry.
It’s not a coincidence that these two teams are playing opposite the World Series. The NFL wanted to get the best possible matchup to beat Baseball in the ratings game. Both teams are coming off bye weeks and should be ready to go. The Packers defense is getting better and I think they can slow down Manning and Denver enough to let Rodgers and the Packers control the ball. It will be a back-and-forth game, but in the end I think the Packers come out with a big road victory.
Pick: Packers -3