Ohio State (22-5, 13-1) at Penn State (18-9, 8-6)
When: Thursday, February 15th 2018
Where: Bryce Jordan Center, State College, PA
Time: 8:00 ET | TV: Big Ten Network
Opening Odds: Penn State -1
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The Penn State Nittany Lions can go for the season sweep of the ninth-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes and put themselves back in the bubble discussion for the NCAA Tournament. Penn State turned a close game at Illinois on Sunday into a blowout, outscoring the Illini 37-16 in the second half en route to their third-straight win a fifth in six games. The only loss during that stretch came at Michigan State after the Lions held a 30-24 halftime lead only to allow the Spartans to score 52 second half points. Penn State’s resume doesn’t include many quality wins, but they have a chance to turn the committee’s heads by playing the top five teams in the Big Ten standings to end the regular season – Penn State sits sixth. Despite the loss to the Nittany Lions, Ohio State still has a slim half-game lead over Purdue for the top spot in the conference and have responded to that setback on January 25th with four-straight victories. The Buckeyes have won five of the last six meetings with the Nittany Lions and the last two in State College.
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Forward Kaleb Watson led five players in double-figures with 18 points in a 82-64 rout of Iowa on Saturday after missing all four of his shots in the previous game against Purdue and ending scoreless. Leading scorer and rebounder Keita Bates-Diop (19.9 points, 9.0 rebounds) has scored below his average in three of the last four games, but the outlier in that mix was a 35-point performance against Illinois in which he hit 13-of-15 free throws.
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Penn State spread the scoring around in the win over Illinois on Sunday with all five starters scoring between 10-16 points led by Shep Garner’s 16 – his fist double-digit scoring effort since scoring 14 in the upset win at Ohio State on January 25th. Of Garner’s 223 field goal attempts this season, 191 have been from three-point range (40.3%) and he nailed 4-of-5 in the Ohio State meeting. The Nittany Lions are 6-1 in their last seven home games with the only loss coming in overtime to Minnesota – a loss that doesn’t help their case for an NCAA Tournament berth.
Both teams are playing really well right now, but Penn State is a very confident group right now and knows it can beat the Buckeyes again. I was hoping the Lions were going to be getting some points at home, but I’ll take them anyway.
Pick: Penn State -1
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Buckeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. Big Ten.
- Buckeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
- Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Nittany Lions are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten.
- Nittany Lions are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 4-0 in Buckeyes last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Buckeyes last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Buckeyes last 4 vs. Big Ten.
- Under is 4-0 in Buckeyes last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 14-2 in Buckeyes last 16 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 7-2 in Buckeyes last 9 Thursday games.
- Over is 7-2 in Buckeyes last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 17-5 in Buckeyes last 22 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 20-6 in Buckeyes last 26 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Nittany Lions last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Nittany Lions last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 4-0 in Nittany Lions last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 10-1 in Nittany Lions last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 11-4 in Nittany Lions last 15 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in Nittany Lions last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 11-5 in Nittany Lions last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Penn St..
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Penn St..
- Over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
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