Denver (37-30) at LA Lakers (30-36)
When: Tuesday, March 13th 2018
Where: Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA
Time: 10:35 ET | TV: NBA TV
Opening Odds: Denver -2/232
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Time is running out in the regular season and the Denver Nuggets are right in the thick of the playoff race. The road has not been kind to Denver this season and the bad news is that 10 of their final 15 games will away from the Mile High city beginning Tuesday night when they take on the surging Los Angeles Lakers. The Nuggets finished off a 2-1 homestand with a 130-104 rout of Sacramento on Sunday and remain tied with two other teams in the race for the last playoff spot in the Western Conference, but they are just 11-20 on the road. The Lakers dropped a 125-116 decision at Denver on Friday in a game that ended with coach Luke Walton yelling at Nuggets guard Jamal Murray. L.A. bounced back strong on Sunday night in a rout of the Cleveland Cavaliers as Julius Randle scored 36 points on 14-of-18 shooting to help the Lakers improve to 15-7 in its last 22 games. Point guard Lonzo Ball recorded his second career triple-double in the first meeting with the Nuggets at Los Angeles on November 19th, leading his team to a 127-109 victory – one of only 10 losses Denver has suffered at home. Los Angeles, who are 17-15 at Staples Center, are just 7-12 at home against the Western Conference.
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Nikola Jokic recorded his seventh triple-double with 20 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists in the win over the Kings as Denver led by as many as 36 points for the Nuggets’ most lopsided victory since November 17th. Jokic is averaging 25.7 points over his last three games after posting an average of 7.3 over his previous three. Gary Harris and Murray also hit the 20-point mark for Denver, which carries a 5-16 road record against Western Conference opponents into Tuesday’s contest. Denver will return home to face the Detroit Pistons on Thursday, but then hit the road for seven straight – five of them against teams currently in a playoff spot.
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Los Angeles doesn’t want to be caught looking ahead to Wednesday as they begin a back-to-back that takes them to Golden State the next night. Head coach Luke Walton is electing to give standout forward Brandon Ingram – who has missed five straight games with a strained groin – both games off before he is re-evaluated. Randle is averaging 22.4 points with Ingram out and Brook Lopez has posted 21.2 points per game in the same stretch while making at least 10 field goals in each of the last three games. Point guard Isaiah Thomas provided a spark off the bench against Cleveland, scoring 20 points in 30 minutes, but turned the ball over five times.
You can’t ignore two things here. 1. The Nuggets are bad on the road, and 2. The Lakers are starting to play really well with their young roster. Because the Lakers are out of playoff contention, I don’t see them looking ahead to Golden State tomorrow. They impressed me on Sunday against Cleveland and I expect more of the same against Denver.
Pick: Lakers +2
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Nuggets are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
- Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Nuggets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Lakers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games.
- Lakers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Lakers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games.
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
- Lakers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Lakers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Lakers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win.
- Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Over is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 Tuesday games.
- Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Over is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 road games.
- Over is 17-3-1 in Nuggets last 21 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 14-3 in Nuggets last 17 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 14-3 in Nuggets last 17 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Lakers last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Over is 9-1-1 in Lakers last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Lakers last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Lakers last 8 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Lakers last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Lakers last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Lakers last 12 overall.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Lakers last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-1 in Lakers last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-2 in Lakers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 10-4 in Lakers last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Lakers last 7 Tuesday games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Over is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings.
- Nuggets are 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
- Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
