Nuggets vs Jazz Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [11/28/17]

Denver (11-8) at Utah (9-11)
When: Tuesday, November 28th 2017
Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Salt Lake City, UT
Time: 10:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Utah -2/206.5

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The Utah Jazz have slowly made the climb back up the standings and will try and keep that going when they finish-up their three-game homestand on Monday night against the Denver Nuggets. The Jazz lost eight of 10 before coming home and winning two-straight and now claim the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Utah, however, has claimed three victories in the last four games against Orlando, Chicago and Milwaukee, a trio that entered Monday with a combined 20-36 record. Denver will be a step up in competition, although they are still trying to deal without the services of forward Paul Millsap, who is out several months following wrist surgery. The Nuggets leaned on star center Nikola Jokic (28 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists) in a 104-92 victory over Memphis at home Friday night. Tuesday’s game against Utah will be just the sixth in a 15-day span for Denver, which has lost six straight in Salt Lake City. Jokic was held to seven points on 3-of-10 shooting as Utah defeated Denver 106-96 in the opener for both teams October 18th.

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Kenneth Faried has made two starts in Millsap’s place since the injury, and had 14 points and nine rebounds in Friday’s victory. Faried made 8-of-12 free throws against Memphis while his teammates combined to go 7-for-14, which dropped the team’s percentage from the line to 72% entering Monday’s action – ranking 28th in the league. Shooting guard Gary Harris has 11 steals over his last three games and is averaging 18 points since coming back from a shoulder injury five games ago. The Nuggets will host the Lakers and Bulls later this week before heading back out on the road for six-straight.

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Rookie Donovan Mitchell hit six of Utah’s franchise-record 18 3-pointers in the 121-108 victory over Milwaukee on Saturday as Utah continues to play without a real inside game with center Rudy Gobert sidelined. The Jazz also tied a season-high with 31 team assists on Saturday, and that made head coach Quin Snyder pretty happy. “I thought we were unbelievably unselfish,” Snyder told reporters. The Jazz are averaging 13.6 made 3-pointers and hitting 42.1% of them in the eight games since Gobert went down with a knee injury. Point guard Ricky Rubio is 5-for-8 from beyond the arc over a three-game span after going 2-for-29 over his previous eight.

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The book is out on how to stop the Jazz. Guard the 3-point line until Gobert comes back. The problem is, Denver is 26th in the league at 3-point defense (38.2%). Utah has gained some confidence after a rough stretch and I feel they can win this contest tonight. The home team has covered the spread in the last five meetings.

Pick: Jazz -1.5

  • Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Nuggets are 35-14-2 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Jazz are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Jazz are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Jazz are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Over is 20-7-1 in Nuggets last 28 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 11-4 in Nuggets last 15 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 Tuesday games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in Jazz last 14 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 18-8 in Jazz last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.

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