Courtesy of PPH247
The Premier League continues this weekend! The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have an intriguing contest with relegation ramifications on Saturday, when Norwich City hosts West Ham United.
Norwich City lost 2-1 on the road against Watford on Tuesday while West Ham United is coming off a 1-0 home setback against Burnley last Wednesday. Norwich City is last in the Premier League standings with 21 points in 34 games while West Ham United is in 16th place with 31 points in 34 games.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is in this matchup.
Betting Odds By Scores and stats
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Norwich City: +243
West Ham United: +101
Draw: +259
Spread
Norwich City: +0.5 (-130)
West Ham United: -0.5 (+101)
Total By Payperhead247
Over 2.5 (-122)
Under 2.5 (+100)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6:
Norwich City, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Watford, have six losses, zero wins and zero draws in their last six overall. West Ham United, coming off a 1-0 home loss against Burnley, have four losses, one win and one draw in their last six overall.
Momentum: Norwich City has been on a downward trend — losing their last six games in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in Premier League action on August 31, 2019 and West Ham United won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
Leading handicapping site Gameadvisers project Teemu Pukki, Jarrod Bowen, Emiliano Buendía, Michail Antonio and Andriy Yarmolenko as the players most likely to score (three of these five players are from West Ham United).
This is a very close matchup. In 10,000 simulations, West Ham United won 37.9 percent, Norwich City won 33.7 percent and there was a 28.4 percent chance of a draw.
Overall, the average simulation score is West Ham United 1.4 to Norwich City 1.3.
The leading scorer for Norwich City is Teemu Pukki with a 39 percent chance of scoring one or more goals. When he has at least one goal, Norwich has a 52 percent chance to win.
It’s safe to say that this is a must-win game for both teams, especially for Norwich City, with the threat of relegation. I will take a chance on the Under at this price in what should be a hard-fought affair.
PPH247 Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 (+100)
