NCAA Football Betting Prediction: Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide

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Even in a pandemic, Thanksgiving weekend means the Iron Bowl in college football. While it isn’t the final game of the regular season, the gloves are off as No. 1 Alabama (7-0) hosts in-state rival No. 22 Auburn (5-2). Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, September 28 at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. and will be televised on CBS.

The first Iron Bowl was in 1893 and the teams have played every year since 1948. Alabama leads the series 46-37-1 but Auburn has won two of the last three. The Tigers won 48-45 at home last year but have lost four straight in Tuscaloosa dating back to Cam Newton’s 28-27 comeback win in 2010.

Auburn Tigers Betting Outlook: Be Aggressive

The Auburn defense has struggled allowing 402.1 yards per game while the offense isn’t ranked in the top 50 in any major category.

Auburn won their third game in a row with a 30-17 home win over Tennessee on Saturday. Quarterback Bo Nix threw for 220 yards and a touchdown while the ground game accounted for 165 yards and a score. Smoke Monday had a 100 yard interception return for a touchdown and Anders Carlson nailed three field goals in the win.

Nix has 1,627 passing yards on the season with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. In last year’s upset of Alabama he was 15-for-30 for 173 yards with one touchdown while also rushing for 44 yards and a score.

D.J Williams ran for 66 yards and a touchdown against Tennessee while Shaun Shivers had 65 yards. Injured Tank Bigsby leads the team with 527 yards and five touchdowns while Nix has 284 yards rushing. Bigsby missed the Tennessee game and is questionable for this week.

Anthony Schwartz led Auburn against the Vols with 84 receiving yards and a touchdown while Seth Williams had five catches for 52 yards. Williams, Schwartz and Eli Stove each have three touchdown catches on the season while Williams averages 17.1 yards per catch.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Outlook: Set the Tone Early

The Tide are 5-2 ATS this season and the over is 5-2 in their seven games. The Alabama offense ranks third in the country in scoring (49.5 ppg), third in passing (366.1 ypg) and sixth in total yards (548.6 ypg).

The Tide crushed Kentucky 63-3 last Saturday as they ran for 226 yards and five touchdowns while Mac Jones threw for 230 yards and two scores. The Tide defense held Kentucky to 179 total yards with two sacks and one interception.

Last year at Auburn, Jones was 26-for-39 for 335 yards with four touchdowns but he was also picked off twice. On the season he has 2,426 yards with 18 touchdowns and three interceptions to rank among the favorites for the 2020 Heisman Trophy.

Najee Harris ran for 83 yards and two scores before giving way to Jase McClellan who had 99 yards and a score. Harris has 797 yards and 16 touchdowns on the season while Brian Robinson Jr. has 230 yards and three scores. Harris ran for 146 yards and a touchdown against Auburn last year.

Wide receiver Devonta Smith broke the SEC career touchdown record with two more scores on Saturday to go with nine catches and 144 yards. On the season Smith has 65 catches for 903 yards and 10 touchdowns while John Metchie III has 25 catches for 535 yards and four scores.

Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Line

Head to our favorite pay per head bookie site at where Alabama is favored by 24.5 points with a total of 62.5 points.

Betting Analysis

The home team has had its way in this series covering seven of the last nine games. Even when the number has been large the Tide have covered at home winning by 31, 18, 11 and 49 in the last four games in Tuscaloosa. Auburn ruined Alabama’s chance at the playoffs last season, don’t expect Nick Saban and the Tide to let that happen again. Free Pick: Alabama -24.5 (-110)

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