Washington (30-22) at Baltimore (17-37)
When: Tuesday, May 29th 2018
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Washington -106/9.5
That Washington Nationals are riding their pitching staff towards the top of the National League East standings and will continue their three-game Beltway Series with the struggling Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday night. Washington took the opener 6-0 on the strength of 7.2 scoreless innings from lefty Gio Gonzalez, while Anthony Rendon stayed hot to lift that Nationals to within a half-game of the Atlanta Braves in the division. Rendon blasted a three-run homer and Washington held their opponent to three runs or less for the sixth time in the last seven games. Bryce Harper went 0-for-3 with a strikeout in the win and owns 12 strikeouts in the last five games, but Rendon homered in back-to-back games and cleanup hitter Matt Adams is up to nine home runs in May. Washington will get one of their best offensive weapons back soon in second baseman Daniel Murphy, who homered and drove in six runs in a rehab game with Double-A Harrisburg on Sunday. The Orioles are seeking some offense and have scored three or fewer runs in 11 of their last 13 games while dropping into the American League East basement at 17-37. Designated hitter Mark Trumbo (knee) returned from a five-game absence on Monday, but went 0-for-2 with a walk. Baltimore will try their luck against righty Jeremy Hellickson on Tuesday while the Orioles go with Dylan Bundy.
Pitchers: Nationals – Jeremy Hellickson (1-0, 2.13 ERA) | Orioles – Dylan Bundy (3-6, 4.45)
Hellickson should know this Orioles lineup well considering he started 10 games with the team in the last half of 2017 before signing with Washington in the offseason. Hellickson has been on a roll of late, feeding off the hot Nationals staff, and has allowed one or no runs in each of his last four outings. However, he only completed six innings in one of those turns, which marked his lone win in the span. Hellickson is 4-4 with a 5.80 ERA in 14 career games at Camden Yards.
Bundy is coming off a dominant performance against the last-place Chicago White Sox on Thursday, allowing two hits, three runs, and striking out 14 in the complete game win. Bundy struggled a bit from the end of April through the beginning of this month, but has wins in two of his last three starts. He won his lone previous career start against Washington, scattering two runs over six innings in August of 2016, though he did surrender a home run to the currently red hot Rendon.
Don’t look much into Bundy’s last outing against the lowly White Sox. He’s struggled for the most part of the season, while Hellickson has found the form that made him a highly regarded prospect. Give me a hot Nationals team even money against a team 20 games under .500, and I’ll take it every time.
Pick: Nationals +100
BETTING TRENDS:
- Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 road games.
- Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Nationals are 18-6 in their last 24 overall.
- Nationals are 18-6 in their last 24 games on grass.
- Nationals are 19-7 in their last 26 Tuesday games.
- Nationals are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Nationals are 40-19 in their last 59 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. American League East.
- Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 4-0 in Hellicksons last 4 starts.
- Nationals are 4-0 in Hellicksons last 4 starts on grass.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 9-3 in their last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- Orioles are 12-5 in their last 17 vs. National League East.
- Orioles are 41-18 in their last 59 interleague home games.
- Orioles are 24-53 in their last 77 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 16-37 in their last 53 during game 2 of a series.
- Orioles are 19-48 in their last 67 games on grass.
- Orioles are 21-55 in their last 76 overall.
- Orioles are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 9-24 in their last 33 Tuesday games.
- Orioles are 14-41 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Orioles are 0-9 in their last 9 interleague games.
- Orioles are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-1 in Bundy’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Orioles are 3-7 in Bundy’s last 10 starts on grass.
- Orioles are 4-10 in Bundy’s last 14 starts.
- Orioles are 1-7 in Bundy’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 0-7 in Bundy’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 8-0 in Nationals last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 10-1 in Nationals last 11 interleague games.
- Under is 12-2 in Nationals last 14 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 Tuesday games.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague road games.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Nationals last 14 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 38-18-6 in Nationals last 62 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Hellickson’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Hellickson’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 9-2 in Orioles last 11 interleague home games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 35-17-2 in Orioles last 54 Tuesday games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Bundy’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Bundy’s last 4 interleague starts.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Bundy’s last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 9-1 in Bundy’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Bundy’s last 5 home starts.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Bundy’s last 9 Tuesday starts.
- Over is 6-2 in Bundy’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 10-4-1 in Bundy’s last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 9-4-1 in Bundy’s last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Baltimore.
- Nationals are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.
- Nationals are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Baltimore.
