Washington (3-3) at Houston (3-3)
When: Wednesday, October 30th 2019
Where: Minute Maid Park,
Houston, Texas
Time: 8:07 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Houston -110/7.5
For the fourth time in six years, we’ll have a Game 7 of the World Series as the Washington Nationals battle the Houston Astros for all the marbles on Wednesday night. The Nationals feel right at home in Minute Maid Park, winning for the third time this series and recorded their seventh straight postseason victory away from home. Houston came into Game 6 as -175 favorites over at Bovada with their future Hall of Famer on the mound. But, Washington kept Justin Verlander winless in his World Series career thanks to homers from Anthony Rendon, Juan Soto, and Adam Eaton in the 7-2 win to force a deciding contest. Rendon, a Houston native, went 3-for-4 with five RBI, while Stephen Strasburg was brilliant after allowing two runs in the first. Nationals ace Max Scherzer, who was scratched from a Game 5 start because of neck spasms, has been cleared to pitch in Game 7 and was actually warming up in the bullpen late on Tuesday. Scherzer received a pain-killing injection Sunday and the fast recovery gives himself the chance to start the biggest game of his career and manager Dave Martinez said he will not be on a pitch limit. Martinez was ejected in the seventh inning of Game 6, the first manager to be thrown out of a World Series game since Atlanta’s Bobby Cox in 1996. Veteran right Zack Greinke will get the ball for Houston in the winner-take-all affair.
Pitchers: Nationals – Max Scherzer (3-0, 2.16 ERA) | Astros – Zack Greinke (0-2, 5.30)
Scherzer should have his starting catcher back behind the plate on Wednesday, as Kurt Suzuki (hip) is expected back after leaving Game 3. Scherzer won Game 1 in Houston when he allowed two runs, five hits, three walks and struck out seven over five innings. He was fitted for a neck brace on Monday in order to fly with the team to Houston but then woke up Tuesday morning feeling significantly better. Scherzer will be making his third World Series start, having made his first in 2012 for the Detroit Tigers.
Greinke has looked much better after losing his first two starts this postseason, allowing nine runs in 9.2 innings to Tampa Bay and the New York Yankees. He’s rebounded with a pair of no-decisions despite allowing a combined two runs over nine innings, but has walked seven. The Astros acquired Greinke from the Arizona Diamondbacks at the July 31 trade deadline for these type of games. He’s allowed one run in 12 total innings against the Nationals this season including the playoffs.
I’ve taken the Nationals in every game so far, and I’m not deviating from that here. I’m not too worried about Scherzer because he’s seems healthy and ready to go for now, but if he isn’t, Washington still has Anibal Sanchez and Patrick Corbin to use behind him. Houston won’t have Verlander, and Cole wouldn’t be able to pitch much, if at all. This has been an unprecedented series so far with the road team winning every game, and I’ll stick with that trend.
Thanks for following our Baseball picks all season – it’s sure been fun. We’ll see you in March. Enjoy the game!
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Wednesday. He finished 135-95 +2686 units in the regular season!
Pick: Nationals +123
BETTING TRENDS:
Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 road games.
Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games.
Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 playoff road games.
Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a win.
Nationals are 9-3 in their last 12 playoff games.
Nationals are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 33-12 in their last 45 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 22-8 in their last 30 Wednesday games.
Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games.
Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 26-10 in their last 36 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 23-9 in their last 32 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 36-15 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 43-19 in their last 62 overall.
Nationals are 43-19 in their last 62 games on grass.
Nationals are 5-0 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 4-0 in Scherzer’s last 4 interleague starts.
Nationals are 5-1 in Scherzer’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 16-5 in Scherzer’s last 21 starts.
Nationals are 6-2 in Scherzer’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 41-15 in Scherzer’s last 56 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 38-15 in Scherzer’s last 53 road starts.
Nationals are 42-19 in Scherzer’s last 61 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 74-36 in Scherzer’s last 110 starts on grass.
Astros are 8-0 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 9-1 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Astros are 38-14 in their last 52 home games.
Astros are 16-6 in their last 22 vs. National League East.
Astros are 37-14 in their last 51 games on grass.
Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 39-16 in their last 55 overall.
Astros are 54-23 in their last 77 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague home games.
Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 World Series home games.
Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 6-1 in Greinke’s last 7 starts on grass.
Astros are 6-2 in Greinke’s last 8 starts.
Astros are 5-2 in Greinke’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague road games.
Over is 8-1-1 in Nationals last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-1-1 in Nationals last 10 interleague games.
Over is 8-1-1 in Nationals last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 on grass.
Over is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 overall.
Over is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 playoff games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 vs. American League West.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games following a win.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 World Series games.
Over is 7-3-1 in Nationals last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Scherzer’s last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-2 in Scherzer’s last 11 interleague starts.
Over is 4-1 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts with 7 or more days of rest.
Under is 6-2-1 in Scherzer’s last 9 road starts.
Under is 5-2 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 5-2 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-3 in Scherzer’s last 10 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff home games.
Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 World Series home games.
Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 7-0 in Astros last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 playoff games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 vs. National League East.
Over is 14-3 in Astros last 17 interleague home games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 interleague games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 World Series games.
Over is 10-3-1 in Astros last 14 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 18-7-2 in Astros last 27 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 15-6-1 in Astros last 22 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-3-1 in Astros last 11 games following a loss.
Under is 6-1 in Greinke’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Greinke’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.
Nationals are 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Houston.
Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Nationals are 22-8 in the last 30 meetings.
