Washington (2-3) at Houston (3-2)
When: Tuesday, October 29th 2019
Where: Minute Maid Park,
Houston, Texas
Time: 8:07 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Houston -170/7.5
So much for homefield advantage, huh? The series price for this year’s World Series has taken a few big swings, with the Astros big favorites coming in, then after the Nationals took the first two games on the road, they became the heavy betting favorites. Houston’s pitching completely shut down Washington’s bats in the Nation’s Capital over the weekend, and took back control of the series and can win their third title in three seasons by winning one of the next two games – at Minute Maid Park. The Nationals had all the momentum in the world coming back home, but scored one run in each of the three games at Nationals Park and went a dismal 1-for-21 with runners in scoring position. Leadoff man Trea Turner went 1-for-14 for Washington with three strikeouts and zero walks over the weekend, as the Nats just couldn’t get anything going offensively after scoring 17 runs in Houston during the first two contests. The Astros won the 2017 World Series with a clinching Game 7 victory on the road but can try to close this one out at Minute Maid Park, where they were an MLB-best 60-21 during the regular season. Houston second baseman Jose Altuve has been as consistent as they come this postseason, batting .360 in the World Series, .350 in the ALDS and .348 in the ALCS. Game 2 starters Stephen Strasburg and Justin Verlander will battle once again in Game 6.
Pitchers: Nationals – Stephen Strasburg (4-0, 1.93 ERA) | Astros – Justin Verlander (1-3, 4.15)
Strasburg outdueled Verlander in last week’s Game 2 by allowing just two runs over six innings with seven strikeouts in the 12-3 rout. He is 4-0 this postseason and his career ERA in October is now 1.34. He allowed just a two-run homer to Alex Bregman in Game 2 and boasts 40 strikeouts across 28 innings this postseason.
Verlander hasn’t had any success when it comes to the World Series, even though he is a cinch Hall of Famer when his career is over. He is now 0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six World Series starts after allowing four runs in six innings back in Game 2’s loss. Verlander has allowed four runs in three different starts this postseason.
I don’t know if Verlander is getting tired or what, because he’s always been a big game pitcher, but the last two starts have me a little worried about putting money on him. Besides Gerrit Cole, Strasburg has been the best pitcher this postseason and has a chance to send this to a Game 7. Washington has won six road games in a row and I think they can do it again.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He finished 135-95 +2686 units in the regular season!
Pick: Nationals +160
BETTING TRENDS:
Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games.
Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff road games.
Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Nationals are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss.
Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games.
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Nationals are 27-11 in their last 38 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games.
Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 42-19 in their last 61 overall.
Nationals are 42-19 in their last 61 games on grass.
Nationals are 5-0 in Strasburg’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Nationals are 13-3 in Strasburg’s last 16 Tuesday starts.
Nationals are 16-5 in Strasburg’s last 21 interleague starts.
Nationals are 22-7 in Strasburg’s last 29 starts with 5 days of rest.
Nationals are 45-15 in Strasburg’s last 60 road starts.
Nationals are 24-8 in Strasburg’s last 32 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 37-14 in Strasburg’s last 51 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 60-23 in Strasburg’s last 83 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Nationals are 91-35 in Strasburg’s last 126 starts.
Nationals are 91-35 in Strasburg’s last 126 starts on grass.
Nationals are 37-15 in Strasburg’s last 52 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 41-17 in Strasburg’s last 58 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 38-18 in Strasburg’s last 56 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 42-11 in their last 53 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 46-14 in their last 60 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. National League East.
Astros are 38-13 in their last 51 home games.
Astros are 38-13 in their last 51 games following an off day.
Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games.
Astros are 56-21 in their last 77 games on grass.
Astros are 39-15 in their last 54 overall.
Astros are 41-16 in their last 57 games following a win.
Astros are 54-22 in their last 76 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 playoff games.
Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 30-13 in their last 43 Tuesday games.
Astros are 57-26 in their last 83 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 13-6 in their last 19 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 15-7 in their last 22 playoff home games.
Astros are 29-14 in their last 43 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 39-19 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 World Series home games.
Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 20-5 in Verlander’s last 25 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 home starts.
Astros are 20-6 in Verlander’s last 26 starts with 5 days of rest.
Astros are 23-8 in Verlander’s last 31 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 20-7 in Verlander’s last 27 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 5-2 in Verlander’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 16-7 in Verlander’s last 23 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 35-16 in Verlander’s last 51 starts.
Astros are 56-26 in Verlander’s last 82 starts on grass.
Astros are 1-4 in Verlander’s last 5 interleague starts.
Over is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 interleague games.
Over is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 overall.
Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 playoff games.
Under is 5-1-2 in Nationals last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 vs. American League West.
Over is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 World Series games.
Under is 3-1-2 in Nationals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 14-6 in Nationals last 20 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 16-7-5 in Nationals last 28 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 9-4-1 in Nationals last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 4-0 in Strasburg’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Strasburg’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Strasburg’s last 6 interleague starts.
Over is 4-1-1 in Strasburg’s last 6 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Strasburg’s last 6 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Over is 3-1-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 18-8-1 in Strasburg’s last 27 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 19-9-1 in Strasburg’s last 29 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 during game 6 of a series.
Over is 13-3 in Astros last 16 interleague home games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 on grass.
Over is 16-4-2 in Astros last 22 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 Tuesday games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 playoff games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 vs. National League East.
Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 games following a win.
Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 World Series home games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 interleague games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 World Series games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 12-5-2 in Astros last 19 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Astros last 11 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Verlander’s last 6 Tuesday starts.
Under is 5-1 in Verlander’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Verlander’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 16-6 in Verlander’s last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-3 in Verlander’s last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 14-6-1 in Verlander’s last 21 home starts.
Under is 13-6 in Verlander’s last 19 starts overall.
Nationals are 4-0 in Strasburg’s last 4 starts vs. Astros.
Over is 4-0 in Strasburg’s last 4 starts vs. Astros.
Nationals are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Houston.
Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Nationals are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Houston.
