Monday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [7/6/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 7/4/26**


NY Mets (Peralta) at Atlanta (Lopez) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 6-0 in Lopez’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Braves are 4-0 in Lopez’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: Braves are 6-1 in Lopez’s last 7 starts.
Cold: Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 Monday games.
Cold: Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 games on grass.
Cold: Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0-1 in Lopez’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Lopez’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Peralta’s last 4 road starts.
Hot: Under is 13-2-1 in Lopez’s last 16 home starts.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 Monday games.

Head-to-Head
Mets are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in Atlanta.

Pick: Mets +112


Milwaukee (Drohan) at St Louis (May) – 7:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 Monday games.
Hot: Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 home games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Brewers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Brewers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in St. Louis.

Pick: CLICK HERE


Arizona (Pfaadt) at San Diego (Buehler) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 Monday games.
Diamondbacks are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. National League West.
Padres are 15-6 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Padres are 0-8 in their last 8 games on grass.
Cold: Padres are 0-8 in their last 8 overall.
Cold: Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League West.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 10-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 road games.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 16-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in San Diego.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Padres -107

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Colorado (Freeland) at LA Dodgers (Lauer) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 56-16 in their last 72 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Dodgers are 46-18 in their last 64 Monday games.
Cold: Rockies are 9-43 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Rockies are 20-62 in their last 82 vs. National League West.
Rockies are 59-170 in their last 229 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 7-3 in Rockies last 10 on grass.
Over is 7-3 in Rockies last 10 overall.

Head-to-Head
Under is 21-8-3 in the last 32 meetings in Los Angeles.
Cold: Rockies are 11-48 in the last 59 meetings in Los Angeles.
Rockies are 14-46 in the last 60 meetings.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 -115


NY Yankees (Schlittler) at Tampa Bay (Jax) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 overall.
Hot: Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Cold: Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Cold: Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Cold: Yankees are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Rays -116


Philadelphia (Sanchez) at Kansas City (Cameron) – 2:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in Cameron’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Cameron’s last 7 home starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Cameron’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cameron’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Sanchez’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Sanchez’s last 4 Monday starts.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.
Hot: Phillies are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City.
Hot: Phillies are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 -109

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Houston (Burrows) at Washington (Mikolas) – 6:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
Hot: Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
Nationals are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Astros are 2-6 in their last 8 Monday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 vs. National League East.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Washington.

Pick: Astros +118


Toronto (Gausman) at San Francisco (Roupp) – 9:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games.
Hot: Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games.
Hot: Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 Monday games.
Cold: Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Blue Jays last 6 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague road games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Giants last 9 home games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Blue Jays -108

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.