Monday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [6/29/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 6/28/26**


Pittsburgh (Ashcraft) at Philadelphia (Nola) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in Ashcraft’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games.
Hot: Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Pirates are 0-7 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in Ashcraft’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in Ashcraft’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Ashcraft’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 4-0-2 in Phillies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Ashcraft’s last 5 road starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 Monday games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in Phillies last 5 home games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Philadelphia.
Pirates are 6-18 in the last 24 meetings in Philadelphia.
Pirates are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.

Pick: Phillies -108


Cincinnati (Lodolo) at Milwaukee (Gasser) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 Monday games.
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Hot: Brewers are 11-1 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Brewers are 0-4 in Gasser’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in Lodolo’s last 4 starts.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in Lodolo’s last 4 starts on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lodolo’s last 4 Monday starts.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Gasser’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 8-2-1 in Lodolo’s last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Milwaukee.
Reds are 19-48 in the last 67 meetings.

Pick: Reds +134


San Diego (ACTION) at Chicago Cubs (Imanaga) – 8:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Hot: Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Hot: Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Padres are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 on grass.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head
Under is 22-7-1 in the last 30 meetings in Chicago.

Pick: Padres +135

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Miami (Alcantara) at Colorado (ACTION) – 8:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 6-0 in Alcantara’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Marlins are 5-0 in Alcantara’s last 5 starts.
Hot: Marlins are 5-0 in Alcantara’s last 5 starts on grass.
Cold: Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cold: Marlins are 1-4 in Alcantara’s last 5 Monday starts.
Marlins are 11-42 in their last 53 Monday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Alcantara’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Alcantara’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Alcantara’s last 7 road starts.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Marlins are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Colorado.
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: Rockies +121


San Francisco (Mahle) at Arizona (Rodriguez) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguez’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in Mahle’s last 5 road starts.
Cold: Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 Monday games.
Cold: Giants are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. National League West.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-2 in Rodriguez’s last 8 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-0-2 in Rodriguez’s last 8 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 3-0-2 in Rodriguez’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rodriguez’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Rodriguez’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings in Arizona.
Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Cold: Giants are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings.
Cold: Giants are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.

Pick: Giants +118


Chicago White Sox (Burke) at Baltimore (Baz) – 6:35 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Hot: White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Orioles are 14-6 in their last 20 vs. American League Central.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in Baz’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: White Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Orioles are 1-6 in Baz’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Burke’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Baltimore.
Cold: White Sox are 5-24 in the last 29 meetings.

Pick: White Sox +118

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Detroit (Mize) at NY Yankees (Weathers) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 Monday games.
Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Tigers are 0-7 in Mize’s last 7 road starts.
Cold: Tigers are 0-5 in Mize’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Tigers are 0-4 in Mize’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Mize’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Mize’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Mize’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 9-1 in Tigers last 10 Monday games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.
Cold: Tigers are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in New York.

Pick: Tigers +127


Texas (Alexander) at Cleveland (Messick) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Guardians are 6-1 in Messick’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Guardians are 5-1 in Messick’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in Messick’s last 5 starts.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in Messick’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Messick’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 Monday games.

Head-to-Head
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
Rangers are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Cleveland.

Pick: Guardians -1.5 +153


Minnesota (Matthews) at Houston (Lambert) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
Hot: Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Astros are 5-1 in Lambert’s last 6 starts.
Cold: Twins are 0-5 in Matthews’ last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cold: Twins are 0-4 in Matthews’ last 4 Monday starts.
Cold: Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Matthews’ last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lambert’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
Cold: Twins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
Twins are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Twins +119

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LA Angels (Johnson) at Seattle (Kirby) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 Monday games.
Hot: Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
Hot: Mariners are 4-0 in Kirby’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in Kirby’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Angels are 3-13 in their last 16 Monday games.
Cold: Mariners are 1-4 in Kirby’s last 5 home starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-2 in Kirby’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Kirby’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Kirby’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Kirby’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle.
Cold: Angels are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle.
Angels are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Mariners -1.5 -105


NY Mets (Manaea) at Toronto (Yesavage) – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in Manaea’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Mets are 4-1 in Manaea’s last 5 Monday starts.
Cold: Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.
Cold: Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Manaea’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last 5 Monday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Manaea’s last 5 interleague starts.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 road games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: Mets +111


Washington (Mikolas) at Boston (Suarez) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Cold: Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
Cold: Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Nationals are 4-13 in their last 17 vs. American League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague road games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 27-5-1 in Red Sox last 33 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
Cold: Nationals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
Nationals are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings.

Pick: CLICK HERE

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LA Dodgers (Lauer) at Athletics (Jump) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cold: are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.
are 2-6 in their last 8 Monday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Jump’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Jump’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in last 4 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Jump’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Hot: Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Athletics.

Pick: Dodgers -111