Michigan State vs Wisconsin Free Pick – January 22nd, 2013

Michigan State (16-3, 5-1) at Wisconsin (13-5, 4-1)
When: Tuesday, January 22nd, 2013
Where: Kohl Center, Madison, WI
Time: 7:00 ET, ESPN

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The point spread for Tuesday’s Big 10 showdown between the Michigan State Spartans and Wisconsin Badgers opened up at -6 in favor of the Badgers on Monday afternoon. The total opened up at 123. As of Monday night, the line and the total have not moved. So far, 79% of the betting public is on Michigan State. Here are the latest trends for this game:

Spartans are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 9-4 in Spartans last 13 road games.

Under is 27-12 in Spartans last 39 Tuesday games.

Under is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 overall.

Under is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 Tuesday games.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Home team is 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

My Prediction: The Badgers followed up their victory at #1 Indiana with a road loss to Iowa on Saturday. They are now unranked, but 6 point favorites over 11th ranked Michigan State. The Spartans have won 5 in a row, but only one of those coming against a ranked team. The trends favor the home team in this series and I’m going to stick with that.

Wisconsin -6

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