NY Mets (40-56) at NY Yankees (63-34)
When: Sunday, July 22nd 2018
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Yankees -167/8.5
The New York Yankees haven’t lost a series to their cross-town rivals in some time, and can extend that streak with a win over the New York Mets in the finale of their three-game series Sunday night. The Yankees pounded out 26 hits en route to splitting the first two games of this series, stranding 14 runners in Friday’s opener, but coming back with a 7-6 win on Saturday. Closer Aroldis Chapman almost gave the game – and series – away Saturday after walking three Mets and hitting another before being pulled for Chasen Shreve. Didi Gregorius’ RBI triple highlighted a four-run fourth and Aaron Judge added his 26th home run in the seventh for the Yankees, who are seeking to extend their series unbeaten streak against the Mets to nine straight (6-0-2). Judge is 6-for-9 with two runs scored and no strikeouts in the series thus far. Yoenis Cespedes was given Saturday off for the Mets after homering in his return from the disabled list Friday night and should start on Sunday. Michael Conforto blasted a solo home run along with two runs scored, and has seven RBIs with six runs scored over his last five games. The Mets will throw their ace Jacob deGrom to the wolves, and he is just 1-4 with a 3.67 ERA in his career against the Yankees and has given up 11 earned runs in 12.1 innings at Yankee Stadium.
Pitchers: Mets – Jacob deGrom (5-4, 1.68 ERA) | Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (7-2, 4.54)
deGrom leads the majors in ERA by a wide margin and is coming off a scoreless outing against Philadelphia, allowing five hits and one walk while striking out seven in eight innings July 11th – the fourth time in his last seven outings that he’s thrown eight innings. One of those eight-inning starts came against the Yankees on June 8th, when deGrom allowed three runs (two earned) in a 4-1 loss.
Masahiro Tanaka rebounded from a poor outing July 10th in his return from the disabled list with a strong performance at Cleveland five days later. Tanaka limited the Tribe to two runs over 6.1 innings and received a no-decision, extending his unbeaten streak to 11 straight starts. He left his start at the Mets last month with hamstring injuries after five strong innings and has a 3.08 ERA in four career matchups.
deGrom is terrific, but he just doesn’t have the team behind him. The Mets actually have a losing record when deGrom starts and he’s not had a good track record in Yankee Stadium as I mentioned above. I’ll lay the 160 on the Baby Bombers in this one.
Pick: Yankees -160
BETTING TRENDS:
- Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 32-73 in their last 105 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 16-37 in their last 53 overall.
- Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
- Mets are 15-36 in their last 51 games on grass.
- Mets are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 6-15 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Mets are 16-41 in their last 57 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 5-13 in their last 18 vs. American League East.
- Mets are 7-20 in their last 27 interleague games.
- Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 4-13 in their last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games.
- Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mets are 6-2 in deGrom’s last 8 starts with 10 or more days of rest.
- Mets are 5-2 in deGrom’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 3-7 in deGrom’s last 10 starts.
- Mets are 3-7 in deGrom’s last 10 starts on grass.
- Mets are 3-8 in deGrom’s last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Mets are 1-4 in deGrom’s last 5 road starts.
- Mets are 2-8 in deGrom’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 1-4 in deGrom’s last 5 interleague starts.
- Mets are 1-5 in deGrom’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 1-6 in deGrom’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 0-6 in deGrom’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Mets are 0-4 in deGrom’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 0-4 in deGrom’s last 4 Sunday starts.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 39-12 in their last 51 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 53-17 in their last 70 home games.
- Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 50-21 in their last 71 games on grass.
- Yankees are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 16-7 in their last 23 interleague games.
- Yankees are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague home games.
- Yankees are 22-10 in their last 32 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 11-5 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 54-25 in their last 79 overall.
- Yankees are 36-17 in their last 53 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 50-24 in their last 74 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 49-24 in their last 73 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 9-1 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Yankees are 8-2 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 18-6 in Tanaka’s last 24 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 20-7 in Tanaka’s last 27 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 8-3 in Tanaka’s last 11 starts.
- Yankees are 20-8 in Tanaka’s last 28 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 36-15 in Tanaka’s last 51 home starts.
- Yankees are 39-17 in Tanaka’s last 56 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 44-21 in Tanaka’s last 65 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 2-5 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 1-4 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Over is 6-1 in Mets last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 interleague road games.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 8-3 in Mets last 11 Sunday games.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Mets last 11 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in deGrom’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in deGrom’s last 7 road starts.
- Under is 4-1 in deGrom’s last 5 starts with 10 or more days of rest.
- Under is 8-2 in deGrom’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 11-3-1 in deGrom’s last 15 starts on grass.
- Under is 11-3-1 in deGrom’s last 15 starts overall.
- Under is 9-3 in deGrom’s last 12 Sunday starts.
- Under is 9-3-1 in deGrom’s last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 8-3 in deGrom’s last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-2 in deGrom’s last 7 interleague starts.
- Under is 5-2-1 in deGrom’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in deGrom’s last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Yankees last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Yankees last 9 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Yankees last 9 overall.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Yankees last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 12-3 in Yankees last 15 interleague games.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Yankees last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 12-3 in Yankees last 15 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 17-5 in Yankees last 22 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 20-6 in Yankees last 26 games following a win.
- Under is 21-7-2 in Yankees last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 Sunday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-3-2 in Yankees last 12 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 Sunday starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Tanaka’s last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Tanaka’s last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Tanaka’s last 14 interleague starts.
- Over is 9-4 in Tanaka’s last 13 starts on grass.
- Over is 9-4 in Tanaka’s last 13 starts overall.
- Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings at Yankee Stadium.
- Mets are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings at Yankee Stadium.
- Mets are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.
- Mets are 1-4 in deGrom’s last 5 starts vs. Yankees.
